5.6sol
0x57097a9e66dc5bce77e6685812ed50eaea2722c3
- Realised P&L
- $-9.5k
- Volume
- $183.3k
- Markets traded
- 352
- Open portfolio
- $4.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded352
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.258Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
- +$747.64at 0.412Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?
- +$690.09at 0.320Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
- +$659.39at 0.661Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
- +$492.59at 0.369Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 02:23 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.056 | $0.28 |
| 09-13 02:22 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.055 | $0.28 |
| 09-12 21:09 | Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31? | SELL | 0.25 | $7.50 |
| 09-12 20:59 | Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $9.45 |
| 09-12 20:15 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.054 | $0.98 |
| 09-12 20:15 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.054 | $1.04 |
| 09-12 20:14 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.054 | $1.10 |
| 09-12 20:14 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.054 | $1.16 |
| 09-12 20:13 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.054 | $1.23 |
| 09-12 20:13 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.054 | $1.30 |
| 09-12 20:12 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.054 | $1.37 |
| 09-12 20:12 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.054 | $1.45 |
| 09-12 20:11 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.054 | $1.53 |
| 09-12 20:11 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.055 | $1.65 |
| 09-12 20:00 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.074 | $2.22 |