Bromley86
0x0b652d3e55be0e1d50c2f7be39358585c415293e
- Realised P&L
- $38.4k
- Volume
- $2.41M
- Markets traded
- 1,048
- Open portfolio
- $32.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,048
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.705Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?
- +$3.3kat 0.740Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
- +$2.2kat 0.433Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
- +$1.9kat 0.392Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.953Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 20:29 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $69.00 |
| 10-08 15:32 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 10-08 15:31 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 10-08 15:28 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.2886747946 | $10.89 |
| 10-08 06:33 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $31.81 |
| 10-08 06:32 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.9830426317 | $713.91 |
| 10-07 21:06 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9408108108 | $104.43 |
| 10-07 00:45 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $54.14 |
| 10-07 00:36 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.2k |
| 10-06 23:33 | Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? | SELL | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 10-06 23:30 | Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? | SELL | 0.85 | $51.00 |
| 10-06 23:27 | Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? | SELL | 0.8525 | $68.20 |
| 10-06 22:54 | Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? | SELL | 0.86 | $68.80 |
| 10-06 19:46 | Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? | SELL | 0.86 | $51.60 |
| 10-06 05:50 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.0k |