DumplingBMF
0x8f69269039b9a401de28a38c2f1c3001364b7df1
- Realised P&L
- $269.7k
- Volume
- $24.86M
- Markets traded
- 3,762
- Open portfolio
- $54.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,762
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.0kat 0.930Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$16.3kat 0.189Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
- +$16.3kat 0.563Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?
- +$16.0kat 0.377Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage
- +$15.8kat 0.955Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 02:44 | Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.59 | $387.92 |
| 11-02 02:25 | Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.59 | $35.40 |
| 11-02 02:19 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7331270998 | $1.2k |
| 11-01 00:49 | UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.52 | $520.00 |
| 11-01 00:39 | Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5766666667 | $25.95 |
| 11-01 00:38 | Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.492559972 | $351.32 |
| 11-01 00:37 | Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8710344828 | $252.60 |
| 11-01 00:29 | UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.91 | $182.00 |
| 11-01 00:29 | UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.91 | $546.00 |
| 11-01 00:25 | UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.73 | $146.00 |
| 11-01 00:16 | Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? | BUY | 0.9659004589 | $122.07 |
| 10-31 23:44 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $606.69 |
| 10-31 01:13 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | BUY | 0.2821238491 | $491.49 |
| 10-31 01:11 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.58 |
| 10-31 01:10 | Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31? | BUY | 0.987841594 | $178.98 |