Torin81
0x92902c21e3bbfc2398a1062d9400c16eea133452
- Realised P&L
- $-133.26
- Volume
- $83.8k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.285Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
- +$1.1kat 0.393Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$818.88at 0.401Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
- +$700.01at 0.207Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
- +$320.99at 0.531Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 15:36 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.40 |
| 07-27 06:59 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.53 | $106.00 |
| 06-29 15:38 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? | BUY | 0.67 | $4.45 |
| 06-16 06:21 | Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 12:32 | Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? | SELL | 0.046 | $4.07 |
| 06-15 12:29 | Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 05-24 07:49 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0274626144 | $32.83 |
| 04-24 04:26 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30? | BUY | 0.17 | $19.26 |
| 04-22 08:26 | Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $253.52 |
| 04-07 13:38 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $40.20 |
| 03-30 11:25 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $22.00 |
| 03-29 09:27 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $45.00 |
| 03-29 06:18 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $45.00 |
| 03-23 17:07 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $3.16 |