Torin81
0x92902c21e3bbfc2398a1062d9400c16eea133452
- Realised P&L
- $-605.92
- Volume
- $89.7k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.285Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
- +$1.1kat 0.393Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$818.88at 0.401Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
- +$700.01at 0.207Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
- +$543.47at 0.435Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:37 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.85 |
| 09-03 14:44 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? | BUY | 0.21 | $84.00 |
| 09-02 05:52 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $116.90 |
| 08-30 08:11 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? | BUY | 0.26 | $26.00 |
| 08-27 18:09 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? | BUY | 0.31 | $67.64 |
| 08-16 19:53 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.027 | $3.68 |
| 08-16 19:50 | NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $16.00 |
| 08-02 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 15:36 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.40 |
| 07-27 06:59 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.53 | $106.00 |
| 06-29 15:38 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? | BUY | 0.67 | $4.45 |
| 06-16 06:21 | Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 12:32 | Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? | SELL | 0.046 | $4.07 |
| 06-15 12:29 | Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 05-24 07:49 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0274626144 | $32.83 |