PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Torin81

0x92902c21e3bbfc2398a1062d9400c16eea133452

Realised P&L
$-133.26
Volume
$83.8k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · Yes0.5160.565$334.30+$28.98
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4770.545$324.32+$40.38
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? · Yes0.2330.360$162.00+$57.00
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.3200.195$77.98$49.99
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1700.195$58.50+$7.50
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3280.160$50.28$52.79
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3? · No0.5000.380$38.00$12.00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 4? · Yes0.2300.355$24.85+$8.75
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 3? · Yes0.2000.125$15.00$9.00
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5900.720$1.76+$0.32
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.1270.000$0.00$140.00
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.2960.000$0.00$11.85
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? · Yes0.2380.000$0.00$213.73
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.1770.000$0.00$97.49
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 16:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3?BUY0.5$50.00
08-02 15:36Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 3?BUY0.2$1.40
07-27 06:59Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.53$106.00
06-29 15:38Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?BUY0.67$4.45
06-16 06:21Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?SELL0.05$5.00
06-15 12:32Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?SELL0.046$4.07
06-15 12:29Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?SELL0.08$1.60
05-24 07:49Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?SELL0.0274626144$32.83
04-24 04:26Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?BUY0.17$19.26
04-22 08:26Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.994$253.52
04-07 13:38Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?BUY0.1$40.20
03-30 11:25Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?BUY0.11$22.00
03-29 09:27Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?BUY0.15$45.00
03-29 06:18Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?BUY0.15$45.00
03-23 17:07Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?BUY0.23$3.16