PolyBot

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Traders

Torin81

0x92902c21e3bbfc2398a1062d9400c16eea133452

Realised P&L
$-605.92
Volume
$89.7k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? · Yes0.6700.585$491.40$71.59
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4530.285$347.70$204.59
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? · Yes0.2590.105$182.70$267.49
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2660.150$57.48$44.37
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2080.085$51.00$73.80
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1730.070$21.00$31.00
Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.295$17.58+$2.68
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1700.021$6.45$44.55
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3280.019$5.97$97.09
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5900.725$1.77+$0.33
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.1270.000$0.00$140.00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 3? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$24.00
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.2960.000$0.00$11.85
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? · Yes0.2380.000$0.00$213.73
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.1770.000$0.00$97.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:37Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?BUY0.14$1.85
09-03 14:44Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?BUY0.21$84.00
09-02 05:52Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?BUY0.7$116.90
08-30 08:11Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?BUY0.26$26.00
08-27 18:09Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?BUY0.31$67.64
08-16 19:53NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.027$3.68
08-16 19:50NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?BUY0.08$16.00
08-02 16:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3?BUY0.5$50.00
08-02 15:36Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 3?BUY0.2$1.40
07-27 06:59Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.53$106.00
06-29 15:38Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?BUY0.67$4.45
06-16 06:21Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?SELL0.05$5.00
06-15 12:32Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?SELL0.046$4.07
06-15 12:29Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?SELL0.08$1.60
05-24 07:49Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?SELL0.0274626144$32.83