abdoohl
0x8e4f8d2922fa1f5312f89f36d3f4c358c6924594
- Realised P&L
- $12.8k
- Volume
- $1.94M
- Markets traded
- 366
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded366
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.015Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$2.1kat 0.324US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.686Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.356US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?
- +$1.5kat 0.470US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 21:38 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $14.48 |
| 10-31 18:04 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.2 | $18.00 |
| 10-31 18:03 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0680241478 | $98.28 |
| 10-30 17:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | BUY | 0.6150612662 | $36.14 |
| 10-30 17:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | BUY | 0.6146870425 | $33.59 |
| 10-30 05:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | BUY | 0.26 | $31.99 |
| 10-30 03:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.984 | $39.36 |
| 10-30 03:44 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.984 | $39.36 |
| 10-30 03:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.984 | $39.36 |
| 10-27 20:17 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $44.24 |
| 10-27 20:15 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $15.61 |
| 10-27 13:41 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.072 | $41.81 |
| 10-26 00:10 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $89.65 |
| 10-25 23:31 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $101.85 |
| 10-24 23:11 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $23.49 |