PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

abdoohl

0x8e4f8d2922fa1f5312f89f36d3f4c358c6924594

Realised P&L
$12.8k
Volume
$1.94M
Markets traded
366
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded366
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November? · No0.4990.675$542.18+$141.03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · No0.6520.655$354.00+$1.82
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1680.065$328.54−$521.78
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in November? · Yes0.6130.690$304.72+$34.12
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2740.085$238.92−$530.58
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · Yes0.2130.115$161.19−$136.91
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5900.560$140.00−$7.50
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1540.205$129.85+$32.31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November? · No0.2720.490$116.37+$51.89
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2640.105$97.20−$147.49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? · No0.0130.021$88.95+$32.97
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? · No0.0840.065$83.18−$23.73
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? · No0.0700.065$83.02−$6.21
Ukraine lowers conscription age by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.1600.155$76.27−$2.46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · No0.4800.480$65.17+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 21:38Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.003$14.48
10-31 18:04Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?SELL0.2$18.00
10-31 18:03Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0680241478$98.28
10-30 17:53Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?BUY0.6150612662$36.14
10-30 17:53Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?BUY0.6146870425$33.59
10-30 05:00Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?BUY0.26$31.99
10-30 03:50Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?BUY0.984$39.36
10-30 03:44Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?BUY0.984$39.36
10-30 03:24Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?BUY0.984$39.36
10-27 20:17US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.07$44.24
10-27 20:15US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.07$15.61
10-27 13:41Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.072$41.81
10-26 00:10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.15$89.65
10-25 23:31Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$101.85
10-24 23:11Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1$23.49