PolyBot

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Traders

abdoohl

0x8e4f8d2922fa1f5312f89f36d3f4c358c6924594

Realised P&L
$14.1k
Volume
$1.62M
Markets traded
297
Open portfolio
$10.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded297
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.3720.335$1.5k$161.94
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3430.355$1.4k+$45.78
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1680.085$1.2k$1.2k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1440.165$1.1k+$146.14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? · Yes0.4030.395$1.0k$22.11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September? · No0.1690.165$802.88$17.35
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes0.2700.245$743.05$75.35
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · Yes0.3590.275$682.84$209.43
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2640.185$388.99$166.79
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · No0.4640.445$317.14$13.31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0870.065$284.06$95.82
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.215$131.97+$9.39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · Yes0.1890.180$115.33$5.70
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.105$101.13$129.98
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1120.056$77.14$77.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 23:51US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?SELL0.0340201356$43.02
09-16 23:47Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?BUY0.48$61.40
09-16 20:28Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?SELL0.07$178.48
09-16 15:26Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.38$63.00
09-16 10:26Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.39$130.26
09-16 09:34US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?SELL0.042$37.19
09-15 22:35Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?SELL0.23$3.17
09-15 22:20Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.3$233.10
09-15 21:41Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?SELL0.07$211.14
09-15 21:28Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.39$129.87
09-15 18:09US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.003$46.33
09-14 21:22US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.0335067396$13.22
09-14 18:08US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?SELL0.06$94.38
09-14 17:39US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?SELL0.06$89.69
09-14 16:54US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.04$21.50