abdoohl
0x8e4f8d2922fa1f5312f89f36d3f4c358c6924594
- Realised P&L
- $14.1k
- Volume
- $1.62M
- Markets traded
- 297
- Open portfolio
- $10.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded297
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.015Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$2.1kat 0.324US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.686Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.356US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?
- +$1.5kat 0.470US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 23:51 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.0340201356 | $43.02 |
| 09-16 23:47 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.48 | $61.40 |
| 09-16 20:28 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $178.48 |
| 09-16 15:26 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $63.00 |
| 09-16 10:26 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $130.26 |
| 09-16 09:34 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.042 | $37.19 |
| 09-15 22:35 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.23 | $3.17 |
| 09-15 22:20 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $233.10 |
| 09-15 21:41 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $211.14 |
| 09-15 21:28 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $129.87 |
| 09-15 18:09 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.003 | $46.33 |
| 09-14 21:22 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.0335067396 | $13.22 |
| 09-14 18:08 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | SELL | 0.06 | $94.38 |
| 09-14 17:39 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | SELL | 0.06 | $89.69 |
| 09-14 16:54 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.04 | $21.50 |