Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-10

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.015. down 0.035 over the period, from 0.050. Range 0.006 to 0.055. 88 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.021	637	637
0.022	403	1,039
0.023	5,100	6,139
0.024	1,232	7,371
0.029	500	7,871
0.032	973	8,844
0.048	877	9,721
0.055	160	9,881
0.099	250	10,131
0.100	1,611	11,742
0.291	34	11,776
0.292	20	11,796

Spread0.012Mid0.015

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.009	962	962
0.008	1,738	2,700
0.006	20	2,720
0.005	4,255	6,975
0.004	9,442	16,417
0.003	2,467	18,884
0.002	19,639	38,523
0.001	80,641	119,164

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.991	962	962
0.992	1,738	2,700
0.994	20	2,720
0.995	4,255	6,975
0.996	9,442	16,417
0.997	2,467	18,884
0.998	19,639	38,523
0.999	80,641	119,164

Spread0.012Mid0.985

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.979	637	637
0.978	403	1,039
0.977	5,100	6,139
0.976	1,232	7,371
0.971	500	7,871
0.968	973	8,844
0.952	877	9,721
0.945	160	9,881
0.901	250	10,131
0.900	1,611	11,742
0.709	34	11,776
0.708	20	11,796

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0xdc3E831cad	Yes	42,768.79
sciuboi	Yes	24,133.64
SuperDog23	Yes	11,453.49
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA	Yes	9,051.52
knrad	Yes	6,462.88
crystalfalls	Yes	5,936.39
on-cinema	Yes	5,892.95
0x4e25…d7a7	Yes	5,400
LynxTitan	Yes	3,696.08
Darvin777	Yes	2,632.78
taerv534	Yes	1,846
TeemuPukki	Yes	1,712.85
ArmageddonRewardsBilly	Yes	1,231.64
macrosteaks	Yes	1,067.27
vtat	Yes	1,000
GenaTheBondKilIer	Yes	699.91
0xee67…67a6	Yes	636.62
0x1bf6…2ecd	Yes	513.73
HotChili	Yes	402.8
cwc909	Yes	400

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
13:31:14	BUY	Yes	0.015	31	$0.46
13:31:04	BUY	Yes	0.013	25	$0.33
13:30:41	BUY	No	0.9909999983	4	$3.60
13:30:40	BUY	Yes	0.015	122	$1.83
13:30:37	BUY	No	0.9909999977	3	$2.96
13:30:35	BUY	Yes	0.013	100	$1.30
11:31:43	BUY	Yes	0.015	127	$1.90
11:31:35	BUY	Yes	0.012	153	$1.83
10:53:55	SELL	Yes	0.009	630	$5.67
08:10:07	BUY	Yes	0.0132939302	2,633	$35.00
05:30:10	BUY	Yes	0.012	577	$6.92
05:27:10	BUY	Yes	0.012	318	$3.82
05:26:43	BUY	Yes	0.0104715865	2,107	$22.06
04:18:40	BUY	Yes	0.009	160	$1.44
03:53:10	SELL	Yes	0.008	310	$2.48
03:50:53	BUY	No	0.991	666	$660.29
20:55:58	BUY	Yes	0.0194655813	514	$10.00
19:11:22	BUY	No	0.9891967289	301	$297.57
17:21:54	BUY	Yes	0.0219999997	45	$1.00
15:38:38	BUY	Yes	0.02	500	$10.00
14:12:59	SELL	Yes	0.0134480667	1,500	$20.17
04:23:29	BUY	Yes	0.024	413	$9.91
04:23:27	SELL	No	0.976	613	$598.73
01:58:39	BUY	No	0.983	5	$4.99
22:05:38	BUY	Yes	0.0238537763	210	$5.00