PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA

0x0c0e270cf879583d6a0142fc817e05b768d0434e

Realised P&L
$2.10M
Volume
$126.65M
Markets traded
1,231
Open portfolio
$1.26M

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,231
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8940.865$388.4k$13.0k
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? · No0.9060.976$332.8k+$23.7k
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.9090.958$117.2k+$6.0k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · No0.9740.970$79.0k$354.16
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.9640.982$48.9k+$849.86
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6990.655$45.1k$3.1k
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · No0.9730.982$42.4k+$404.14
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · No0.8770.860$40.4k$810.86
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.4400.415$33.4k$2.0k
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · No0.9830.988$30.0k+$159.65
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.7470.775$19.5k+$699.10
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.8020.905$15.0k+$1.7k
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? · No0.9200.935$7.2k+$115.80
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · Yes0.0600.979$6.6k+$6.2k
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.6500.605$6.2k$459.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 21:27Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.5$6.6k
07-31 14:14Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.981$3.4k
07-31 14:13US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9$5.5k
07-31 14:13US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?BUY0.983$36.1k
07-31 02:59Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.82$8.2k
07-30 14:10Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.971$2.4k
07-30 14:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.986$222.40
07-30 14:08Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.003$46.26
07-30 14:07Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.015$18.86
07-30 05:21Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.48$2.8k
07-30 05:20Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.983$383.56
07-30 05:19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.92$40.3k
07-29 21:38Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.15$668.45
07-29 16:21US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6994651294$48.1k
07-29 16:21US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.88$13.6k