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Traders

The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA

0x0c0e270cf879583d6a0142fc817e05b768d0434e

Realised P&L
$1.85M
Volume
$138.66M
Markets traded
1,386
Open portfolio
$765.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,386
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration45.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 15:42Democratic Senate odds <60% on November 2?BUY0.99$79.84
10-31 15:42Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on November 2?BUY0.989$36.59
10-31 15:42Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on November 2?BUY0.954$400.68
10-31 15:41Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 1?BUY0.89$133.50
10-31 15:40Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31?BUY0.99$2.2k
10-31 15:40Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?BUY0.995$84.46
10-30 21:11Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?SELL0.0125140825$0.44
10-30 21:09Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?SELL0.0163636364$0.11
10-30 17:39US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?BUY0.9$510.86
10-30 17:39US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?BUY0.88$26.40
10-30 13:28US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?BUY0.9915438266$2.0k
10-30 13:28US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?BUY0.9887743852$131.48
10-30 13:28US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.9389911718$4.3k
10-30 04:48Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?BUY0.998$6.8k
10-30 04:48Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?BUY0.9924829363$6.2k