The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
0x0c0e270cf879583d6a0142fc817e05b768d0434e
- Realised P&L
- $2.10M
- Volume
- $126.65M
- Markets traded
- 1,231
- Open portfolio
- $1.26M
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,231
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$171.2kat 0.995Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$157.9kat 0.152Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$141.6kat 0.500Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$137.1kat 0.3212024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
- +$131.1kat 0.682No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 21:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $6.6k |
| 07-31 14:14 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.981 | $3.4k |
| 07-31 14:13 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.5k |
| 07-31 14:13 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $36.1k |
| 07-31 02:59 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.2k |
| 07-30 14:10 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.971 | $2.4k |
| 07-30 14:09 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.986 | $222.40 |
| 07-30 14:08 | Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.003 | $46.26 |
| 07-30 14:07 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.015 | $18.86 |
| 07-30 05:21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.8k |
| 07-30 05:20 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.983 | $383.56 |
| 07-30 05:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $40.3k |
| 07-29 21:38 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.15 | $668.45 |
| 07-29 16:21 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6994651294 | $48.1k |
| 07-29 16:21 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $13.6k |