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Traders

The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA

0x0c0e270cf879583d6a0142fc817e05b768d0434e

Realised P&L
$2.27M
Volume
$133.51M
Markets traded
1,293
Open portfolio
$1.23M

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,293
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration70.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.8660.905$452.3k+$19.6k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.9100.991$207.6k+$16.9k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.5930.825$144.9k+$40.8k
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · No0.9290.994$83.3k+$5.4k
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? · No0.9540.971$60.1k+$1.0k
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.9230.935$40.3k+$514.52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · No0.9120.935$36.4k+$898.80
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9610.962$31.1k+$16.50
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? · No0.9600.950$24.9k$274.96
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · No0.9230.945$18.6k+$431.08
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.8090.935$16.4k+$2.2k
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? · No0.9860.989$15.9k+$48.23
Fetterman out by September 30, 2026? · No0.9800.994$13.4k+$176.11
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.017$10.3k+$5.4k
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.905$9.2k+$357.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 00:00Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.93$13.3k
09-16 23:59Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.002$100.26
09-16 23:56Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.002$228.62
09-16 23:55Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.006$29.29
09-16 23:50Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.934$21.49
09-16 23:50Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?BUY0.96$25.1k
09-16 23:50Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?BUY0.97099$582.59
09-16 23:50Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?BUY0.9809408945$5.2k
09-16 23:49Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?BUY0.984$52.32
09-16 23:49Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?BUY0.986$15.9k
09-16 23:48Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.017$20.51
09-16 23:46Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?BUY0.81$451.06
09-16 23:46Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9439422011$2.1k
09-16 23:45Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.993$103.62
09-16 23:45Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$1.7k
Trader The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · PolyBot Pro