Darvin777
0x6ffa3f243a105c0c283482ef9ca999d71c57b3c4
- Realised P&L
- $-17.9k
- Volume
- $905.0k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $714.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)13.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.025 | $444.83 | −$726.14 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.124 | 0.055 | $220.64 | −$275.40 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.012 | $46.78 | −$27.22 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? · Yes | 0.205 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$620.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$499.99 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$152.00 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.080Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.058Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$378.63at 0.366Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?
- +$-17.58at 0.330Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
- +$-18.83at 0.025Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 06:08 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | BUY | 0.0136936937 | $57.00 |
| 07-17 17:45 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0189713482 | $45.00 |
| 07-17 17:44 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0489878695 | $210.00 |
| 07-17 17:44 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0752880857 | $263.51 |
| 07-17 17:43 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0488097979 | $146.99 |
| 07-14 15:08 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $29.00 |
| 07-14 15:07 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1025612023 | $155.00 |
| 07-14 15:05 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $80.00 |
| 07-08 14:11 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $32.22 |
| 07-05 07:38 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999997 | $400.00 |
| 06-28 06:50 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $210.00 |
| 06-26 11:59 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1388384464 | $420.00 |
| 06-26 11:58 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $490.00 |
| 06-08 20:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $106.56 |
| 06-04 09:01 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0337700951 | $152.00 |