Darvin777
0x6ffa3f243a105c0c283482ef9ca999d71c57b3c4
- Realised P&L
- $-19.6k
- Volume
- $1.09M
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $285.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)11.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.080Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.058Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$378.64at 0.366Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?
- +$-17.58at 0.330Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
- +$-18.83at 0.025Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 08:16 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0069778513 | $27.85 |
| 10-04 08:16 | Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $11.00 |
| 10-04 08:11 | Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0119549609 | $10.92 |
| 10-04 08:11 | Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.010219495 | $27.00 |
| 10-04 08:10 | Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0106125473 | $28.00 |
| 10-04 08:10 | Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0132939302 | $35.00 |
| 10-03 13:42 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $148.85 |
| 09-28 05:28 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $100.26 |
| 09-22 07:52 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0289999998 | $2.87 |
| 09-22 07:52 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0259384323 | $233.00 |
| 08-17 12:11 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.1480442235 | $35.00 |
| 08-17 12:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.0122453271 | $36.01 |
| 08-17 12:10 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.1468033152 | $89.00 |
| 08-17 12:09 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.023 | $93.75 |
| 08-17 11:32 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.156587473 | $87.00 |