PolyBot

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Traders

Darvin777

0x6ffa3f243a105c0c283482ef9ca999d71c57b3c4

Realised P&L
$-19.6k
Volume
$1.09M
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$285.23

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)11.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0140.005$203.26−$309.50
Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0130.012$31.59−$3.40
Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0110.009$22.43−$5.57
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0120.009$17.39−$4.53
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0100.004$10.57−$16.43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$177.00
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? · Yes0.2050.000$0.00−$620.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$40.99
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$499.99
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$59.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$71.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$152.00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$80.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$36.00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$57.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 08:16Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0069778513$27.85
10-04 08:16Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.012$11.00
10-04 08:11Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0119549609$10.92
10-04 08:11Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.010219495$27.00
10-04 08:10Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0106125473$28.00
10-04 08:10Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0132939302$35.00
10-03 13:42Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.008$148.85
09-28 05:28Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.019$100.26
09-22 07:52Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0289999998$2.87
09-22 07:52Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0259384323$233.00
08-17 12:11US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.1480442235$35.00
08-17 12:10Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.0122453271$36.01
08-17 12:10US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.1468033152$89.00
08-17 12:09Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.023$93.75
08-17 11:32US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.156587473$87.00