macrosteaks
0xeface9902242b0399856f981600b907dcc9bc9a1
- Realised P&L
- $-7.9k
- Volume
- $18.74M
- Markets traded
- 14,866
- Open portfolio
- $387.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14,866
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.7kat 0.115Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$18.5kat 0.344Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$14.2kat 0.508Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?
- +$13.9kat 0.192Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
- +$12.2kat 0.101Will Atlante FC win on 2026-08-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:30 | Will Denis Villeneuve be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.6 | $37.80 |
| 11-01 21:18 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.43 |
| 11-01 21:18 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.97 |
| 11-01 21:18 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.30 |
| 11-01 21:17 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.30 |
| 11-01 21:16 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | SELL | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 21:16 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | SELL | 0.12 | $6.00 |
| 11-01 21:02 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 11-01 21:02 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.82 | $6.56 |
| 11-01 20:48 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.84 | $17.64 |
| 11-01 20:39 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat? | SELL | 0.27092 | $2.71 |
| 11-01 20:34 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.83 | $6.64 |
| 11-01 20:28 | Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | SELL | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 11-01 20:26 | Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? | BUY | 0.6699999896 | $16.07 |
| 11-01 20:25 | Will Trump speak to Elon Musk by November 30? | BUY | 0.5999999746 | $9.44 |