macrosteaks
0xeface9902242b0399856f981600b907dcc9bc9a1
- Realised P&L
- $18.6k
- Volume
- $15.45M
- Markets traded
- 10,976
- Open portfolio
- $107.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10,976
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.9kat 0.113Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$19.0kat 0.333Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$14.2kat 0.508Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?
- +$13.9kat 0.192Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
- +$11.0kat 0.450US government shutdown Saturday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:57 | Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | SELL | 0.55 | $8.80 |
| 08-02 22:55 | Will Kyler Murray be the Vikings' Week 1 starting QB? | BUY | 0.1477324782 | $6.45 |
| 08-02 22:54 | Will the Atlanta Braves clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | BUY | 0.96 | $11.52 |
| 08-02 22:54 | Will the Atlanta Braves clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | BUY | 0.96 | $11.52 |
| 08-02 22:49 | Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.62 |
| 08-02 22:46 | Will the Boston Red Sox have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season? | SELL | 0.96532 | $48.27 |
| 08-02 22:46 | Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? | BUY | 0.1329999284 | $1.46 |
| 08-02 22:41 | Will the Washington Nationals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | BUY | 0.92 | $6.44 |
| 08-02 22:39 | Will the Pittsburgh Pirates clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | BUY | 0.8129188249 | $22.96 |
| 08-02 22:27 | Will the Minnesota Twins clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 22:27 | Will the Minnesota Twins clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | BUY | 0.23 | $3.22 |
| 08-02 22:27 | Will the Minnesota Twins clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | BUY | 0.2299999699 | $4.59 |
| 08-02 22:19 | Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.85 | $11.05 |
| 08-02 22:19 | Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August? | BUY | 0.7 | $28.70 |
| 08-02 22:19 | Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August? | BUY | 0.7 | $31.50 |