PolyBot

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Traders

HotChili

0x216509be5332c6037105b4f871966eb97240f598

Realised P&L
$101.6k
Volume
$210.52M
Markets traded
7,779
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,779
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 19:06Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 17?SELL0.37$37.00
09-16 18:56Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 17?SELL0.5038121003$10.24
09-16 18:34Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 17?SELL0.46$25.30
09-16 17:56Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 17?SELL0.53$57.76
09-16 17:16Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.003$1.50
09-16 17:16Will UNHCR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.003$1.45
09-16 17:16Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.01$1.67
09-16 17:15Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.017$1.75
09-16 17:15Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.069$0.38
09-16 17:14Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.09$21.15
09-16 17:10Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?SELL0.45$2.25
09-15 17:01Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 17?SELL0.43$43.00
09-15 17:00Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 17?BUY0.4$40.00
09-15 16:59Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 17?BUY0.36$16.20
09-15 16:56Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 17?BUY0.44$44.00