PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1bf68055711cfe64f63609352b7b4f346fff2ecd

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$282.8k
Markets traded
160
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded160
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2700.502$1.2k+$539.73
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3610.360$254.98$0.35
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.065$130.00+$30.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0400.039$48.75$1.25
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0690.069$29.78$0.22
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0800.075$28.13$1.88
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0790.070$26.81$3.19
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0220.018$2.14$0.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 15:45Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0225907472$2.76
09-17 15:45Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.069$30.00
09-17 15:45Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.08$30.00
09-17 15:45Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0788937385$30.00
09-16 13:39Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3609999995$75.00
09-16 12:42Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3609999999$180.33
09-15 21:39Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?SELL0.9805100133$133.17
09-15 11:38Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.04$50.00
09-12 21:50Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?BUY0.4099999984$5.00
09-12 21:50Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?BUY0.40444056$50.00
09-12 21:49Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026?SELL0.1360184251$62.01
09-12 06:29Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?SELL0.0612798344$105.83
09-12 06:27Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026?BUY0.219341974$100.00
09-11 12:45Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?BUY0.1158109042$200.00
09-09 03:51Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.22$204.29