TeemuPukki
0xc25427ea224b8f9fa2df801233f944006ed33f73
- Realised P&L
- $140.6k
- Volume
- $19.53M
- Markets traded
- 1,403
- Open portfolio
- $92.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,403
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No | 0.770 | 0.925 | $71.2k | +$11.9k |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · No | 0.887 | 0.888 | $12.4k | +$23.19 |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · No | 0.902 | 0.892 | $4.6k | −$47.90 |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? · No | 0.875 | 0.899 | $4.2k | +$117.16 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.195 | $195.00 | −$55.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.2kat 0.786Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
- +$28.5kat 0.583Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
- +$23.8kat 0.245Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$23.4kat 0.877Will the government shutdown end November 13?
- +$18.2kat 0.914US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:45 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.08 | $218.97 |
| 07-16 03:15 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.993 | $553.10 |
| 07-12 00:28 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7575 | $454.50 |
| 07-11 23:40 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.996 | $3.0k |
| 07-11 23:20 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.8525 | $170.50 |
| 07-11 23:18 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.865 | $432.50 |
| 07-11 23:17 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.89 | $445.00 |
| 07-11 23:16 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 07-09 02:33 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 07-08 09:12 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 07-08 09:11 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 07-08 09:11 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.35 | $35.00 |
| 07-07 17:24 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.75 | $75.00 |
| 07-05 22:32 | England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time? | SELL | 0.4601615767 | $332.24 |
| 07-05 21:54 | England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time? | SELL | 0.599 | $113.81 |