PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

vtat

0x7b0b3850eb4a00289a6e00097bc4daeec39cc3df

Realised P&L
$38.6k
Volume
$25.81M
Markets traded
212
Open portfolio
$250.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded212
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0140.084$84.00+$69.92
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0140.070$69.50+$55.42
Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0140.025$25.00+$10.92
Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0140.013$13.50$0.58
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0140.011$11.50$2.58
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0140.011$10.50$3.58
Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0140.011$10.50$3.58
Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0140.009$9.50$4.58
Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0140.009$9.00$5.08
Will UNHCR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0140.004$3.50$10.58
Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0140.004$3.50$10.58
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.1600.065$0.41$0.60
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$1.68
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$3.57
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$27.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 12:10Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?BUY0.006$3.57
08-20 12:10Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?BUY0.0138452282$27.82
08-20 12:09Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?BUY0.014$1.68
07-26 23:20Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.001$8.39
07-26 23:06Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?SELL0.001$2.20
07-26 23:03Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?BUY0.003$43.92
07-26 23:02Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?BUY0.003$5.00
07-19 21:43Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.0724999978$30.00
07-19 21:07Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.0549999902$5.00
07-19 21:04Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.0724999935$10.00
07-19 20:55Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.1193680901$20.00
07-19 20:41Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.16$50.00
07-19 20:01Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.0209999797$1.00
07-19 20:00Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.1099999982$50.00
07-19 19:59Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.005$1.00