PolyBot

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Traders

cwc909

0x8db4f2bcb37078763c70dac5d99c285995479c07

Realised P&L
$18.7k
Volume
$3.99M
Markets traded
15,177
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15,177
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ron Nirenberg win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election? · Yes0.5000.955$47.75+$22.75
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5000.925$46.25+$21.25
Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election? · Yes0.5000.915$45.75+$20.75
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? · Yes0.5000.840$42.00+$17.00
Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? · Yes0.5000.760$38.00+$13.00
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.8500.755$37.75$4.75
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0140.088$35.40+$29.77
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? · Yes0.8200.855$34.20+$1.40
Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election? · Yes0.5000.986$29.57+$14.57
Will Mo Ivory win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election? · Yes0.5000.963$28.88+$13.88
Will Bakir Izetbegović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? · Yes0.5090.295$27.54$20.00
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0140.066$26.40+$20.77
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.5000.695$23.57+$6.61
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? · Yes0.5000.760$22.80+$7.80
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.447$22.32+$20.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-15 04:57Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be at least $1,216,000 on September 30?SELL0.003$0.04
07-30 12:10Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.951$19.01
07-30 12:09Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.951$19.02
07-30 12:08Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.951$19.02
07-30 12:08Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.951$19.02
07-30 12:07Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.9516385$19.03
07-29 03:00Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?SELL0.01$0.15
07-28 16:10Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,242,000 and $1,264,000 on September 30?SELL0.023$0.40
07-28 16:04Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.28$6.44
07-28 14:11Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.206$8.24
07-28 05:58Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.276$55.20
07-27 23:45Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.338$13.52
07-27 14:19Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.44$88.00
07-26 06:58Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.239$11.95
07-25 18:06Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.15$7.50