cwc909
0x8db4f2bcb37078763c70dac5d99c285995479c07
- Realised P&L
- $18.7k
- Volume
- $3.99M
- Markets traded
- 15,177
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15,177
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.500Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$1.9kat 0.500Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$1.4kat 0.038Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$1.3kat 0.500Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$1.0kat 0.247Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 04:57 | Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be at least $1,216,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.04 |
| 07-30 12:10 | Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.951 | $19.01 |
| 07-30 12:09 | Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.951 | $19.02 |
| 07-30 12:08 | Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.951 | $19.02 |
| 07-30 12:08 | Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.951 | $19.02 |
| 07-30 12:07 | Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.9516385 | $19.03 |
| 07-29 03:00 | Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.15 |
| 07-28 16:10 | Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,242,000 and $1,264,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.40 |
| 07-28 16:04 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.28 | $6.44 |
| 07-28 14:11 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.206 | $8.24 |
| 07-28 05:58 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.276 | $55.20 |
| 07-27 23:45 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.338 | $13.52 |
| 07-27 14:19 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.44 | $88.00 |
| 07-26 06:58 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.239 | $11.95 |
| 07-25 18:06 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.15 | $7.50 |