PolyBot

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Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.009. up 0.000 over the period, from 0.009. Range 0.007 to 0.011. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.012192192
0.013278470
0.0143,1003,570
0.0151223,692
0.027303,722
0.0283754,097
0.031224,119
0.0346624,781
0.0411,1775,958
0.042636,021
0.0438176,838
0.0443,63010,468

Spread0.006Mid0.009

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0066363
0.005458521
0.00460581
0.003384965
0.0021,0782,043
0.0017,4509,493

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9946363
0.995458521
0.99660581
0.997384965
0.9981,0782,043
0.9997,4509,493

Spread0.006Mid0.991

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.988192192
0.987278470
0.9863,1003,570
0.9851223,692
0.973303,722
0.9723754,097
0.969224,119
0.9666624,781
0.9591,1775,958
0.958636,021
0.9578176,838
0.9563,63010,468

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
BabyGrootYes3,100
0xcC3ef03D700F65F613848506Ff2bDB6F1B527304-1763827508452Yes2,470.47
nryyYes2,414.48
fiterYes2,000
0x0d2E0eA91cfF6766db088F2B1b936c723BF25f81-1769886591670Yes1,606.23
NoSteinNoGateYes1,547
balthazarYes1,303.41
kungfumofuYes1,185.7
MilkIsGood124Yes1,091.8
0x75772c0fad8BB3EeFb12bAe32EeF8a58e7EE8fB9-1771157190403Yes994.99
0x19b87FaD1d000FBcBB8253513FdeB50a36F30C6C-1774522622992Yes887.62
occasionalAwarenessYes823.92
GoreaYes755.71
wtfsssYes752.38
Ben.GrahamYes750
0xd309A013459bF9169CC5ba54b5f10f31aC932d4d-1769688802327Yes741.77
Hugo459440Yes685.58
goaks18Yes644.33
audibleYes643.29
OlkaYes593.67

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
05:59:33BUYYes0.0118448327422$5.00
15:13:15BUYYes0.0135$0.07
15:13:13BUYYes0.0135$0.07
15:09:39BUYYes0.0145$0.07
15:09:37BUYYes0.0145$0.07
14:32:28BUYYes0.014565$0.07
14:32:24BUYYes0.0145$0.07
14:32:18BUYYes0.0145$0.07
14:32:13BUYYes0.0145$0.07
14:32:07BUYYes0.0145$0.07
12:18:07BUYYes0.0145$0.07
12:18:04BUYYes0.0145$0.07
12:14:04BUYYes0.0145$0.07
12:14:01BUYYes0.0145$0.07
12:14:00BUYYes0.0145$0.07
12:13:58BUYYes0.0145$0.07
12:10:10BUYYes0.0145$0.07
12:10:07BUYYes0.0145$0.07
12:10:06BUYYes0.0145$0.07
12:10:03BUYYes0.0145$0.07
12:10:01BUYYes0.0145$0.07
22:04:26SELLNo0.9871$1.00
10:08:34SELLNo0.9917$6.86
21:52:56BUYYes0.01264222579$1.00
07:01:17SELLNo0.987895705524$24.15