0x0d2E0eA91cfF6766db088F2B1b936c723BF25f81-1769886591670
0x0d2e0ea91cff6766db088f2b1b936c723bf25f81
- Realised P&L
- $-81.31
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $13.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.007 | $12.05 | −$58.52 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.003 | $1.47 | −$37.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.15at 0.676Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$5.16at 0.090Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 08:00 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.12 | $24.00 |
| 02-27 08:00 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | SELL | 0.981 | $29.43 |
| 02-08 20:30 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.09 | $18.00 |
| 02-08 12:43 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.676 | $20.28 |
| 02-02 10:03 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.1034030499 | $20.00 |
| 02-01 22:26 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0623318137 | $40.00 |
| 01-31 19:32 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.03376612 | $16.88 |
| 01-31 19:31 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0298080372 | $12.16 |
| 01-31 19:30 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.049 | $19.41 |
| 01-31 19:28 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.027 | $1.52 |