PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nryy

0xafbcfbb51d831d53f0bdd8e5cc2333b548eb18c6

Realised P&L
$354.73
Volume
$692.7k
Markets traded
2,202
Open portfolio
$8.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,202
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6260.957$2.4k+$825.04
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9800.997$2.1k+$35.12
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.2930.954$1.1k+$790.55
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · Yes0.2670.768$562.12+$366.95
Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9030.969$72.78+$4.98
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8640.905$72.28+$3.29
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.2880.515$68.35+$30.10
Will Slingshot launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.7530.920$67.47+$12.28
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes0.2390.091$66.56$108.52
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.1630.740$58.54+$45.62
Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.4390.710$49.47+$18.88
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? · Yes0.3550.355$47.11+$0.04
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31? · No0.3720.775$38.75+$20.15
Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22? · Yes0.0200.915$37.97+$37.13
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? · Yes0.1880.790$35.03+$26.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-27 11:37Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.098$1.96
03-27 11:37Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.029$0.58
03-27 11:37Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.084$1.68
03-27 11:37Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.64$12.80
03-27 11:37Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.047$0.94
03-27 11:37Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?BUY0.043$0.86
03-27 11:37Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.057$1.14
03-27 11:36Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.084$1.68
03-27 11:36Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?BUY0.043$0.86
03-27 11:36Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.047$0.94
03-27 11:36Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.029$0.58
03-27 11:36Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.057$1.14
03-27 11:36Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.098$1.96
03-27 11:36Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.64$12.80
03-27 11:33Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.057$1.14