Hugo459440
0x880d2b8f3df6881150d1ef1a1f2ac0767e39adb6
- Realised P&L
- $-5.2k
- Volume
- $1.76M
- Markets traded
- 2,089
- Open portfolio
- $14.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,089
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.0kat 0.733Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 25?
- +$6.0kat 0.645Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?
- +$4.7kat 0.713Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 13?
- +$3.9kat 0.547Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$3.3kat 0.787Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on April 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:06 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on September 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.98 |
| 09-16 10:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Austin be 88°F or higher on September 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.96 |
| 09-16 08:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 32°C or higher on September 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 09-16 08:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 32°C or higher on September 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.98 |
| 09-16 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C or below on September 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 09-16 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C or below on September 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.98 |
| 09-15 14:09 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 11°C or below on September 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $53.09 |
| 09-14 13:07 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C or below on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 09-14 13:05 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C or below on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.98 |
| 09-14 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C or higher on September 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.98 |
| 09-14 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C or below on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 09-14 05:21 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C or below on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.98 |
| 09-14 04:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C or below on September 15? | BUY | 0.995 | $75.61 |
| 09-13 21:38 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be 110°F or higher on September 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $94.80 |
| 09-13 20:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C or below on September 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $47.40 |