Hugo459440
0x880d2b8f3df6881150d1ef1a1f2ac0767e39adb6
- Realised P&L
- $-6.1k
- Volume
- $1.81M
- Markets traded
- 2,217
- Open portfolio
- $5.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,217
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.0kat 0.645Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?
- +$3.9kat 0.547Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$1.3kat 0.891Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
- +$953.14at 0.587US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
- +$830.24at 0.852Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 21:06 | Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9879999768 | $18.57 |
| 10-23 20:46 | Will USD/BRL hit 3.75 (Low) in 2026? | BUY | 0.9909999989 | $3.58 |
| 10-23 20:36 | Will Plasma reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9869999675 | $22.79 |
| 10-20 08:32 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20? | BUY | 0.8109999856 | $2.87 |
| 10-20 00:44 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.24 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.20 |
| 10-19 22:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.90 |
| 10-18 14:19 | Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9719997456 | $3.21 |
| 10-18 07:14 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C or below on October 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.99 |
| 10-17 20:24 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.00 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.9872133144 | $48.64 |
| 10-17 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.9574901735 | $41.86 |
| 10-17 07:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 8°C or below on October 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.52 |
| 10-16 20:29 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 in October? | BUY | 0.9951988153 | $150.53 |
| 10-16 06:26 | Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.04 | $9.27 |
| 10-16 06:26 | Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0469999999 | $3.10 |
| 10-16 06:26 | Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.038 | $7.98 |