PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Hugo459440

0x880d2b8f3df6881150d1ef1a1f2ac0767e39adb6

Realised P&L
$-6.1k
Volume
$1.81M
Markets traded
2,217
Open portfolio
$5.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,217
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will EUR/USD hit 1.35 (High) in 2026? · No0.9980.994$4.1k−$15.99
Will USD/BRL hit 7 (High) in 2026? · No0.9600.916$488.46−$23.49
Will GBP/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026? · No0.9680.931$391.95−$15.70
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.6620.947$71.53+$21.53
Negative GDP growth in 2026? · No0.9220.970$70.49+$3.49
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.7020.950$67.67+$17.67
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6000.961$57.63+$21.63
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.5600.940$41.94+$16.94
Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 6.8M in September? · No0.9500.870$41.75−$3.85
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.2300.340$40.80+$13.20
Printr FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9840.914$33.18−$2.52
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.0450.043$25.96−$1.02
Will Plasma reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9870.946$21.84−$0.95
Fed rate cut by June 2027 meeting? · No0.7400.720$19.68−$0.55
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9880.986$18.52−$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-23 21:06Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9879999768$18.57
10-23 20:46Will USD/BRL hit 3.75 (Low) in 2026?BUY0.9909999989$3.58
10-23 20:36Will Plasma reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9869999675$22.79
10-20 08:32Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?BUY0.8109999856$2.87
10-20 00:44Will Dogecoin reach $0.24 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.96$3.20
10-19 22:28Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.98$2.90
10-18 14:19Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9719997456$3.21
10-18 07:14Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C or below on October 19?BUY0.998$2.99
10-17 20:24Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.00 Week of October 19 2026?BUY0.9872133144$48.64
10-17 08:01Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on October 17?BUY0.9574901735$41.86
10-17 07:04Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 8°C or below on October 19?BUY0.998$6.52
10-16 20:29Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 in October?BUY0.9951988153$150.53
10-16 06:26Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?BUY0.04$9.27
10-16 06:26Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.0469999999$3.10
10-16 06:26Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?BUY0.038$7.98