PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

audible

0xbd6c5df476b19762d0b73c8db4a9d2b26bc868d9

Realised P&L
$-901.32
Volume
$51.4k
Markets traded
170
Open portfolio
$144.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded170
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? · No0.4490.655$52.52+$16.52
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.4210.280$22.60$11.40
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe · Yes0.0460.022$18.11$19.01
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.1000.041$14.35$20.65
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.0610.021$12.68$25.31
OpenAI acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1150.030$9.90$28.10
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? · Yes0.1390.036$9.42$26.58
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0560.007$4.82$31.18
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0400.001$0.44$34.56
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? · No0.2880.000$0.00$69.00
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$37.00
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026? · No0.3040.000$0.00$35.00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · No0.3430.000$0.00$68.00
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? · No0.3900.000$0.00$34.00
Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026? · No0.1640.000$0.00$72.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-28 10:22Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.1$35.00
01-21 17:35Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?BUY0.1199999973$37.00
01-14 13:37Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeBUY0.0482441729$27.00
01-13 17:20Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeBUY0.0412833612$10.13
01-13 17:09OpenAI acquired before 2027?BUY0.1151121291$38.00
01-13 17:08Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.0614112631$38.00
01-11 02:43Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?BUY0.1391231108$37.00
01-07 14:36Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?BUY0.1394686631$36.00
01-07 14:35SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?BUY0.4489785737$36.00
12-28 19:23Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $178 end of December?BUY0.028$3.00
12-27 10:39Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.071$2.56
12-27 10:38Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.87$34.80
12-27 10:38Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.87$34.80
12-26 18:08Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.009$5.00
12-26 18:06Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.0898678391$34.00