PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

audible

0xbd6c5df476b19762d0b73c8db4a9d2b26bc868d9

Realised P&L
$-893.58
Volume
$51.4k
Markets traded
170
Open portfolio
$152.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded170
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.4210.445$35.93+$1.93
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? · No0.4490.385$30.87$5.13
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe · Yes0.0460.022$18.11$19.01
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.0610.028$17.02$20.98
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.1000.045$15.75$19.25
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? · Yes0.1390.056$14.45$21.55
OpenAI acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1150.041$13.37$24.63
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0560.006$3.86$32.14
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0400.004$3.08$31.92
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? · No0.2880.000$0.00$69.00
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$37.00
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026? · No0.3040.000$0.00$35.00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · No0.3430.000$0.00$68.00
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? · No0.3900.000$0.00$34.00
Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026? · No0.1640.000$0.00$72.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-28 10:22Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.1$35.00
01-21 17:35Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?BUY0.1199999973$37.00
01-14 13:37Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeBUY0.0482441729$27.00
01-13 17:20Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeBUY0.0412833612$10.13
01-13 17:09OpenAI acquired before 2027?BUY0.1151121291$38.00
01-13 17:08Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.0614112631$38.00
01-11 02:43Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?BUY0.1391231108$37.00
01-07 14:36Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?BUY0.1394686631$36.00
01-07 14:35SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?BUY0.4489785737$36.00
12-28 19:23Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $178 end of December?BUY0.028$3.00
12-27 10:39Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.071$2.56
12-27 10:38Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.87$34.80
12-27 10:38Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.87$34.80
12-26 18:08Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.009$5.00
12-26 18:06Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.0898678391$34.00