audible
0xbd6c5df476b19762d0b73c8db4a9d2b26bc868d9
- Realised P&L
- $-893.58
- Volume
- $51.4k
- Markets traded
- 170
- Open portfolio
- $152.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded170
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$248.97at 0.039Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
- +$198.84at 0.167Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
- +$186.00at 0.380Iran military response by Monday?
- +$184.20at 0.700Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?
- +$156.64at 0.195Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $178 end of December?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-28 10:22 | Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $35.00 |
| 01-21 17:35 | Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999973 | $37.00 |
| 01-14 13:37 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe | BUY | 0.0482441729 | $27.00 |
| 01-13 17:20 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe | BUY | 0.0412833612 | $10.13 |
| 01-13 17:09 | OpenAI acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.1151121291 | $38.00 |
| 01-13 17:08 | Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.0614112631 | $38.00 |
| 01-11 02:43 | Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026? | BUY | 0.1391231108 | $37.00 |
| 01-07 14:36 | Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.1394686631 | $36.00 |
| 01-07 14:35 | SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | BUY | 0.4489785737 | $36.00 |
| 12-28 19:23 | Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $178 end of December? | BUY | 0.028 | $3.00 |
| 12-27 10:39 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.071 | $2.56 |
| 12-27 10:38 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $34.80 |
| 12-27 10:38 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $34.80 |
| 12-26 18:08 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.009 | $5.00 |
| 12-26 18:06 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.0898678391 | $34.00 |