goaks18
0x6eaa6f9d6498cd66156258b4cfa6110a97a86a93
- Realised P&L
- $-499.96
- Volume
- $74.8k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $23.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$296.32at 0.329Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
- +$146.11at 0.475Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$87.32at 0.156MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$31.06at 0.423Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$21.29at 0.951Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 14:54 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.64 | $0.21 |
| 08-05 14:54 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.0376032919 | $25.45 |
| 06-21 15:50 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.041 | $1.59 |
| 06-21 15:50 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0477765291 | $1.86 |
| 06-21 15:50 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0779999776 | $3.02 |
| 06-21 15:50 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0949999769 | $3.68 |
| 06-21 15:50 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0539999765 | $2.09 |
| 06-21 15:50 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.1709999823 | $6.63 |
| 06-19 16:25 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.52 |
| 06-19 16:25 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.115 | $4.60 |
| 06-19 16:25 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.035 | $1.40 |
| 06-19 16:25 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.057 | $2.28 |
| 06-19 16:25 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.40 |
| 06-19 16:25 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.065 | $2.60 |
| 06-19 16:25 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.054 | $2.16 |