PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

goaks18

0x6eaa6f9d6498cd66156258b4cfa6110a97a86a93

Realised P&L
$-499.96
Volume
$74.8k
Markets traded
103
Open portfolio
$23.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded103
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1540.013$8.65$89.97
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1700.007$4.83$104.97
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0830.006$4.27$50.22
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0630.006$4.27$37.09
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0340.003$1.54$19.67
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0080.001$0.00$0.01
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? · Yes0.5820.000$0.00$44.91
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? · Yes0.2270.000$0.00$10.21
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs? · No0.3590.000$0.00$13.04
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00$6.48
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.5310.000$0.00$36.36
Will Anthony Cirelli win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$1.31
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$4.20
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$0.19
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$3.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 14:54Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.64$0.21
08-05 14:54Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.0376032919$25.45
06-21 15:50Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.041$1.59
06-21 15:50Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0477765291$1.86
06-21 15:50Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0779999776$3.02
06-21 15:50Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0949999769$3.68
06-21 15:50Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0539999765$2.09
06-21 15:50Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.1709999823$6.63
06-19 16:25Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.013$0.52
06-19 16:25Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?SELL0.115$4.60
06-19 16:25Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.035$1.40
06-19 16:25Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.057$2.28
06-19 16:25Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.01$0.40
06-19 16:25Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.065$2.60
06-19 16:25Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.054$2.16