Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.28. down 0.08 over the period, from 0.35. Range 0.26 to 0.35. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.28	760	760
0.29	551	1,311
0.30	288	1,599
0.31	171	1,770
0.32	490	2,260
0.35	14	2,274
0.38	246	2,520
0.40	250	2,770
0.45	20	2,790
0.81	20	2,810
0.83	174	2,984
0.84	240	3,224

Spread0.01Mid0.28

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.27	1,314	1,314
0.26	471	1,785
0.25	155	1,940
0.23	20	1,960
0.22	5	1,965
0.21	5	1,970
0.20	20	1,990
0.18	56	2,046
0.17	300	2,346
0.11	20	2,366
0.05	386	2,752
0.04	250	3,002

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.73	1,314	1,314
0.74	471	1,785
0.75	155	1,940
0.77	20	1,960
0.78	5	1,965
0.79	5	1,970
0.80	20	1,990
0.82	56	2,046
0.83	300	2,346
0.89	20	2,366
0.95	386	2,752
0.96	250	3,002

Spread0.01Mid0.72

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.72	760	760
0.71	551	1,311
0.70	288	1,599
0.69	171	1,770
0.68	490	2,260
0.65	14	2,274
0.62	246	2,520
0.60	250	2,770
0.55	20	2,790
0.19	20	2,810
0.17	174	2,984
0.16	240	3,224

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
bmtr	Yes	1,852.14
m33zy	Yes	1,782
hellovinci1	Yes	1,067.81
banestow	Yes	1,002.53
crop?	Yes	548.84
thursdays	Yes	510.38
asdasdasdasdasdasdasd	Yes	490.28
NOPH	Yes	399.98
plusdome	Yes	299.86
bananabreakfast	Yes	249.93
LornaPredicts	Yes	105.16
Sheehave	Yes	93.75
0x3Ee4bf420046D18CD94bC58a1A3CafbFC2624cCa-1741428450198	Yes	87
peepeepooppoop	Yes	80
alexdf	Yes	77.35
rpontici	Yes	66.91
0xA099c1449b45628f13A24ECD11545A74Aa708943-1782642029597	Yes	46.98
0xca3E18433673840A94b0376604068cf2e65CC9FF-1767540204047	Yes	32.49
wildboar08	Yes	31.25
gdragon88	Yes	25

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:03:13	SELL	No	0.72	1	$1.01
18:02:06	BUY	Yes	0.28	48	$13.44
18:02:01	BUY	Yes	0.28	89	$24.92
18:01:58	BUY	Yes	0.28	8	$2.24
18:01:06	BUY	Yes	0.28	5	$1.40
18:01:03	BUY	Yes	0.28	5	$1.40
18:00:58	BUY	Yes	0.28	5	$1.40
18:00:55	BUY	Yes	0.28	30	$8.38
18:44:18	BUY	Yes	0.28	10	$2.80
12:11:01	SELL	No	0.72	340	$244.53
11:54:39	SELL	Yes	0.26	2	$0.61
23:30:04	SELL	Yes	0.25	9	$2.25
23:29:42	SELL	No	0.72	20	$14.40
23:29:33	BUY	Yes	0.2706666594	21	$5.80
23:29:28	BUY	Yes	0.2716023226	324	$87.92
21:39:07	BUY	No	0.75	8	$5.77
17:29:25	SELL	No	0.73	20	$14.89
15:02:34	SELL	No	0.73	5	$3.65
08:59:04	SELL	No	0.71	1	$1.03
06:24:15	SELL	No	0.7	20	$14.00
06:24:13	BUY	Yes	0.2712088419	238	$64.66
06:04:51	BUY	No	0.7273426897	302	$219.74
18:18:16	SELL	No	0.7071455434	53	$37.61
18:16:39	BUY	No	0.7184375	32	$22.99
17:58:54	SELL	No	0.7	2	$1.27