crop?
0xe30898ebedefd06a8acd3ea2bfdd7a00bd67309c
- Realised P&L
- $-933.43
- Volume
- $139.9k
- Markets traded
- 339
- Open portfolio
- $958.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded339
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$457.90at 0.190Biden drops out of presidential race?
- +$402.39at 0.230Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?
- +$207.16at 0.170US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
- +$141.67at 0.150Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31?
- +$139.80at 0.389Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 15:49 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? | BUY | 0.11 | $13.75 |
| 09-07 08:17 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | BUY | 0.2579365052 | $50.00 |
| 09-07 08:16 | Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.42 | $84.00 |
| 09-06 14:42 | Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.41 | $61.50 |
| 09-06 12:41 | Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4309234349 | $40.00 |
| 09-06 12:37 | Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-06 12:37 | Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3016488223 | $140.87 |
| 09-06 12:37 | Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.29 | $76.28 |
| 09-06 11:10 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? | BUY | 0.25 | $48.50 |
| 09-06 11:10 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? | BUY | 0.3421367521 | $80.06 |
| 09-04 10:27 | Will Tropical Storm Dolly strengthen to a hurricane? | SELL | 0.991 | $19.82 |
| 08-21 15:45 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0148131235 | $25.00 |
| 08-17 11:24 | Will Thursday be the most viewed day of Jesse Watters Primetime for the week of August 10 - August 16? | BUY | 0.0899999779 | $3.55 |
| 08-17 11:23 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $16.50 |
| 08-17 10:50 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $9.34 |