PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

crop?

0xe30898ebedefd06a8acd3ea2bfdd7a00bd67309c

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$108.1k
Markets traded
268
Open portfolio
$543.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded268
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2590.295$161.91+$19.71
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? · No0.2100.160$68.65$21.35
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1000.125$62.50+$12.50
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31? · No0.3490.350$47.77+$0.12
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.5220.179$34.28$65.72
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? · No0.4030.247$32.90$20.71
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? · Yes0.3310.255$26.90$8.04
Will Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2200.340$24.14+$8.52
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1240.115$20.11$1.63
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1300.065$19.50$19.50
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? · No0.0600.086$17.18+$5.18
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.036$16.42$33.58
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? · Yes0.1700.350$10.50+$5.40
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? · No0.2610.635$0.76+$0.45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? · No0.0400.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 13:10Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?SELL0.1714619469$9.69
07-27 12:43Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?SELL0.35$28.00
07-27 12:37Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?SELL0.395$15.80
07-27 11:38Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.3600249377$14.44
07-27 11:37Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?SELL0.326$32.60
07-27 10:44Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.35$7.00
07-27 10:44Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?SELL0.4$8.00
07-27 08:55Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.45$2.25
07-27 05:03Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.1525916763$35.31
07-26 06:36Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.47$86.96
07-25 06:31Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?BUY0.57$2.85
07-25 06:29Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?BUY0.4666666667$28.00
07-25 04:02Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2985406983$55.24
07-24 09:43EPL: Will Jeff Bezos Be Announced as New Liverpool Owner in 2026?BUY0.580985713$1.00
07-24 09:43EPL: Will Jeff Bezos Be Announced as New Liverpool Owner in 2026?BUY0.5703754839$50.00