PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

crop?

0xe30898ebedefd06a8acd3ea2bfdd7a00bd67309c

Realised P&L
$-293.87
Volume
$152.0k
Markets traded
346
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded346
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 03:16Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.4099999984$50.00
10-15 14:06Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1888667986$50.00
10-15 14:06Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?BUY0.0679521471$43.59
10-15 14:03Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?BUY0.14$26.57
10-15 14:02Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$50.00
10-15 14:01Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?BUY0.1455434734$32.66
10-15 14:01Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?BUY0.1590909091$17.50
10-15 14:01Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?BUY0.1490909091$16.40
10-15 13:58Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.0847977021$75.50
10-14 13:28Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.0997658709$296.39
10-10 13:59Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.102$28.15
10-10 13:57Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.098$28.87
10-10 08:03Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.104$22.88
10-10 07:38Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.5699999983$100.00
10-10 07:37Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.104$56.18