crop?
0xe30898ebedefd06a8acd3ea2bfdd7a00bd67309c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $108.1k
- Markets traded
- 268
- Open portfolio
- $543.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded268
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$457.89at 0.190Biden drops out of presidential race?
- +$402.39at 0.230Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?
- +$207.16at 0.170US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
- +$142.04at 0.379Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?
- +$141.67at 0.150Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 13:10 | Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.1714619469 | $9.69 |
| 07-27 12:43 | Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $28.00 |
| 07-27 12:37 | Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.395 | $15.80 |
| 07-27 11:38 | Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.3600249377 | $14.44 |
| 07-27 11:37 | Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.326 | $32.60 |
| 07-27 10:44 | Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 07-27 10:44 | Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 07-27 08:55 | Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 07-27 05:03 | Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.1525916763 | $35.31 |
| 07-26 06:36 | Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $86.96 |
| 07-25 06:31 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 07-25 06:29 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? | BUY | 0.4666666667 | $28.00 |
| 07-25 04:02 | Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2985406983 | $55.24 |
| 07-24 09:43 | EPL: Will Jeff Bezos Be Announced as New Liverpool Owner in 2026? | BUY | 0.580985713 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 09:43 | EPL: Will Jeff Bezos Be Announced as New Liverpool Owner in 2026? | BUY | 0.5703754839 | $50.00 |