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Traders

nasos.pap

0x81b4a7abd14b87190a83b231b36361bc5c05a888

Realised P&L
$-609.00
Volume
$26.7k
Markets traded
118
Open portfolio
$95.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded118
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.360$36.00+$16.00
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.180$24.10+$10.71
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3600.355$19.72−$0.28
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.265$15.94+$1.50
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025? · No0.2200.000$0.00−$38.82
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$5.81
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025? · Yes0.1640.000$0.00−$12.80
Israel confirms it has nuclear weapons in 2025? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$2.00
Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$5.00
Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$19.31
GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00−$25.72
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$22.80
Iran Nuke in 2025? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$2.00
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 18:12Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$13.39
10-05 18:09Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2399999987$14.44
10-05 18:07Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?BUY0.2298689719$10.00
10-05 18:05Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?BUY0.05$10.00
10-05 18:00Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2$20.00
10-05 17:57Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3599999971$20.00
09-23 16:22Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0511331162$10.00
09-19 00:07Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?BUY0.0950980385$10.00
11-20 22:00AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?BUY0.0124326716$4.00
11-18 20:04Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?BUY0.016$1.57
11-08 17:59New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?SELL0.64$2.37
11-08 17:59Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL0.48$3.20
10-16 09:01Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?BUY0.1$5.00
10-09 20:20Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?BUY0.009$5.29
10-09 20:19Will Trump say "Don't Take Tylenol" in October?SELL0.968$10.29
Trader nasos.pap · PolyBot Pro