algo168
0x2cfe7302d69d3eaec0b39a0da170c20740b0e4de
- Realised P&L
- $-13.7k
- Volume
- $1.02M
- Markets traded
- 5,529
- Open portfolio
- $14.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,529
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.204Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
- +$1.6kat 0.026KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: Team to Advance
- +$1.2kat 0.017Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.222Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?
- +$1.1kat 0.077Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 09:38 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.53 |
| 11-02 08:38 | W15 Neuquén: Agustina Tarantola vs Jazmin Baier | BUY | 0.12 | $4.20 |
| 11-02 07:58 | W35 Liberec: Anna Hsu vs Oriana Gniewkowska | BUY | 0.94 | $47.00 |
| 11-02 07:41 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.745 | $8.94 |
| 11-02 06:07 | Will Republicans win the Michigan and Ohio Senate seats? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 11-02 03:53 | Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.617008 | $61.70 |
| 11-02 02:22 | Spread: Broncos (-2.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $24.53 |
| 11-02 02:09 | Spread: Seahawks (-13.5) | BUY | 0.18 | $9.00 |
| 11-02 01:32 | Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.24 |
| 11-02 01:04 | USC Trojans vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels (W) | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 11-02 01:01 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.64 | $58.88 |
| 11-02 01:01 | Will the Republicans win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.38 |
| 11-02 00:53 | Jaguars vs. Ravens | BUY | 0.76 | $57.00 |
| 11-01 23:48 | Spread: Bears (-14.5) | BUY | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 11-01 23:14 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.64 |