PolyBot

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Traders

NOPH

0x24124601c80a6a7b3f9dc0bd7f91aab9825ff534

Realised P&L
$277.12
Volume
$90.8k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$3.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1820.393$1.6k+$873.94
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.4000.815$1.5k+$747.00
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · No0.6780.185$64.75−$172.74
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.145$58.00−$58.00
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.7200.940$30.60+$7.16
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner · FaZe0.0420.000$0.00−$69.60
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$24.00
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes0.5910.000$0.00−$1.9k
Rocket League: Karmine Corp vs Vitality (BO7) - RLCS Major Paris Playoffs · Vitality0.4760.000$0.00−$47.58
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00−$30.78
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner · Liquid0.2960.000$0.00−$94.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-26 20:32Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.3838457895$218.79
06-23 08:38Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.75$750.00
06-23 08:37Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.74$420.52
06-23 08:37Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.7399999989$650.00
06-22 15:07Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.4002696667$240.16
06-10 15:55Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.2897438927$140.00
05-30 10:08Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.8083333333$242.50
05-29 05:27Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.0963668148$81.53
05-29 05:25Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.546579391$20.00
05-29 05:22Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.3220464316$14.98
05-26 13:57Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.788$4.55
05-25 09:14Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.852$340.80
05-24 17:13Rocket League: Karmine Corp vs Vitality (BO7) - RLCS Major Paris PlayoffsSELL0.67$10.87
05-19 21:14Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.15$65.19
05-19 21:13Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?SELL0.01$9.00