PolyBot

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Traders

alexdf

0x84a0cdc6330f7e56515cee60321f2c644048928e

Realised P&L
$-213.24
Volume
$4.6k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$40.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0540.040$14.53−$5.47
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December? · Yes0.1000.135$13.50+$3.50
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3090.120$9.28−$14.65
Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes0.1200.040$3.29−$6.71
Will AC Monza win on 2026-08-29? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 26? · Yes0.4560.000$0.00−$110.00
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-08-22? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$19.72
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-08-23? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00−$2.00
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 27? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$10.00
Will AC Monza win on 2026-08-22? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 30? · Yes0.1070.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 27? · Yes0.1290.000$0.00−$10.00
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-29 20:06Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 30?SELL0.01$0.59
08-29 18:34Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-08-29?SELL0.999$23.78
08-29 16:03Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 30?BUY0.1068832835$5.00
08-29 16:02Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 30?BUY0.0846405447$5.00
08-29 15:59Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-08-29?BUY0.4199999899$10.00
08-29 15:58Will AC Monza win on 2026-08-29?BUY0.3299999812$10.00
08-27 02:18Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 27?BUY0.5499999807$10.00
08-26 20:04Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 27?BUY0.2761885639$5.00
08-26 20:02Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 27?BUY0.1293532231$10.00
08-26 15:13Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 26?SELL0.939740091$14.46
08-26 13:48Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 26?BUY0.7799999909$12.00
08-26 10:05Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?BUY0.1666666667$5.00
08-26 08:45Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 26?SELL0.3016533637$7.94
08-26 08:43Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 26?BUY0.5062228661$100.00
08-26 08:42Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?SELL0.21$151.91