alexdf
0x84a0cdc6330f7e56515cee60321f2c644048928e
- Realised P&L
- $-213.24
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $40.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.25at 0.711Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 23?
- +$13.16at 0.436Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-08-29?
- +$6.01at 0.477Will Venezia FC win on 2026-08-23?
- +$2.22at 0.477Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 25?
- +$0.21at 0.903Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 20:06 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 30? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.59 |
| 08-29 18:34 | Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-08-29? | SELL | 0.999 | $23.78 |
| 08-29 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 30? | BUY | 0.1068832835 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 30? | BUY | 0.0846405447 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 15:59 | Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 15:58 | Will AC Monza win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.3299999812 | $10.00 |
| 08-27 02:18 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 27? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 20:04 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 27? | BUY | 0.2761885639 | $5.00 |
| 08-26 20:02 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 27? | BUY | 0.1293532231 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 26? | SELL | 0.939740091 | $14.46 |
| 08-26 13:48 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 26? | BUY | 0.7799999909 | $12.00 |
| 08-26 10:05 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | BUY | 0.1666666667 | $5.00 |
| 08-26 08:45 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 26? | SELL | 0.3016533637 | $7.94 |
| 08-26 08:43 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 26? | BUY | 0.5062228661 | $100.00 |
| 08-26 08:42 | Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | SELL | 0.21 | $151.91 |