PolyBot

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Traders

hellovinci1

0xbf768293cf868489b58a96cc53b89422a36d02b8

Realised P&L
$184.22
Volume
$16.5k
Markets traded
164
Open portfolio
$279.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded164
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3410.180$192.21−$172.18
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? · No0.7710.885$48.67+$6.28
Will Reliance Industries Ltd be the largest Indian company? · Yes0.8800.860$17.20−$0.40
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.7200.555$11.10−$3.30
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.5500.380$7.60−$3.40
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6600.365$2.77−$2.23
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Guo/Mladenovic · Siniakova/Townsend0.9600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bunschoten: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Filippo Romano · Gilles Arnaud Bailly0.6700.000$0.00−$3.35
Exact Score: Djurgardens IF 2 - 1 Halmstads BK? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: Djurgardens IF 1 - 0 Halmstads BK? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.54
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Bolelli/Vavassori vs Krajicek/Mektic · Bolelli/Vavassori0.7600.000$0.00−$1.00
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians · Pittsburgh Pirates0.9460.000$0.00−$47.30
Contrexeville: Mayar Sherif vs Jeline Vandromme · Jeline Vandromme0.7110.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 3? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 10:34Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.55$11.00
09-14 10:29Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.72$14.40
09-14 10:28Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.89$44.50
09-13 09:13Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.72$36.00
09-13 07:09Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?SELL0.946$4.73
09-13 07:09Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?SELL0.92$4.86
09-13 07:09Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.94$18.80
08-21 11:11Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.94$9.40
08-21 11:10Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?SELL0.943$9.43
08-21 11:10Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?SELL0.960538$9.61
08-21 11:10Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.979$9.79
08-21 11:01Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.964$9.64
08-21 04:10Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.69$1.68
08-14 07:54Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.91$23.36
08-14 06:46Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?BUY0.37$202.76