hellovinci1
0xbf768293cf868489b58a96cc53b89422a36d02b8
- Realised P&L
- $184.22
- Volume
- $16.5k
- Markets traded
- 164
- Open portfolio
- $279.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded164
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.81at 0.933Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-07-16?
- +$32.26at 0.939Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants
- +$29.34at 0.642Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
- +$26.91at 0.949Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
- +$21.87at 0.890Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 10:34 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 09-14 10:29 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 09-14 10:28 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $44.50 |
| 09-13 09:13 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.72 | $36.00 |
| 09-13 07:09 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.946 | $4.73 |
| 09-13 07:09 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.92 | $4.86 |
| 09-13 07:09 | Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.94 | $18.80 |
| 08-21 11:11 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $9.40 |
| 08-21 11:10 | Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.943 | $9.43 |
| 08-21 11:10 | Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.960538 | $9.61 |
| 08-21 11:10 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.979 | $9.79 |
| 08-21 11:01 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.964 | $9.64 |
| 08-21 04:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.69 | $1.68 |
| 08-14 07:54 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $23.36 |
| 08-14 06:46 | Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $202.76 |