PolyBot

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Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.21. down 0.16 over the period, from 0.38. Range 0.21 to 0.47. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.23414414
0.24348762
0.3540802
0.3710812
0.3840852
0.3965917
0.4250967
0.4320987
0.471001,087
0.48301,117
0.611431,260
0.684001,660

Spread0.03Mid0.22

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.20277277
0.19557834
0.1340874
0.1220894
0.1021915
0.0280995

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.80277277
0.81557834
0.8740874
0.8820894
0.9021915
0.9880995

Spread0.03Mid0.79

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.77414414
0.76348762
0.6540802
0.6310812
0.6240852
0.6165917
0.5850967
0.5720987
0.531001,087
0.52301,117
0.391431,260
0.324001,660

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
InterestingUserYes1,367.82
AMAM13Yes113.52
0x37525cB351f53968Cb1177C1059C09bC25E69d56-1761723227494Yes50
FihdrzgddYes34.9
LornaPredictsYes34.35
BodytobodyYes32.12
0x4629…f3b1Yes30
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527Yes30
Hugin-og-MuninYes5
80sdfsYes4.02
0xa5ef…2966No667.93
molodoyyNo361.4
SingletonFamilyFundNo143.75
tradetosurvive1No125.05
X-Rabbit.SezuNo78.56
AJSVNo65.71
johnthekNo51.3
lissartterNo49.5
PERP-RFQNo40
561gh56fdNo20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:39:37SELLNo0.77120$92.72
19:26:30BUYNo0.7620$15.20
15:07:40SELLNo0.78450$39.20
12:22:18SELLYes0.2212$2.69
12:22:07SELLYes0.21793765859$12.93
05:54:21BUYYes0.2232$6.96
04:14:24SELLNo0.7612$9.13
03:13:06SELLNo0.761666666730$22.85
21:55:39BUYYes0.248$1.93
16:50:29SELLYes0.2707227566107$28.99
23:47:43SELLNo0.688752138134$92.62
01:51:36BUYNo0.657454175279$51.65
05:39:52SELLNo0.6213$7.86
04:17:10SELLNo0.6140$24.42
03:49:27SELLNo0.6470$45.08
23:33:36SELLYes0.292$0.49
21:49:24SELLYes0.318724206111$35.53
20:10:55SELLYes0.3520$7.00
14:56:01BUYNo0.676548392560$40.61
14:55:52BUYNo0.6754$35.99
14:55:40BUYNo0.6430$19.20
14:09:34BUYNo0.5942979943140$82.96
03:17:48SELLYes0.4482644628121$54.24
20:53:54SELLNo0.620$12.00
20:53:52SELLNo0.6120$12.20