561gh56fd
0x002dc150a00bb1d617b6dcc0f7a45e4fe72247a2
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $47.5k
- Markets traded
- 355
- Open portfolio
- $324.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded355
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.50at 0.650Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
- +$8.64at 0.454Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$5.80at 0.942Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
- +$3.58at 0.970Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?
- +$2.50at 0.500Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 22:07 | Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 09-02 16:14 | US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 08-28 20:18 | Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes? | SELL | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 08-23 14:23 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $2.82 |
| 08-20 07:15 | Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 08-20 07:14 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará? | SELL | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 08-19 03:22 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 08-18 04:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 18? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 08-18 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18? | SELL | 0.51322 | $10.26 |
| 08-18 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 19? | SELL | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 08-18 04:00 | Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? | SELL | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 08-17 19:22 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 19? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 08-17 06:01 | Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 08-17 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 17? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 08-17 06:01 | Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.80 |