PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

561gh56fd

0x002dc150a00bb1d617b6dcc0f7a45e4fe72247a2

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$47.5k
Markets traded
355
Open portfolio
$324.94

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded355
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? · No0.5701.000$100.00+$43.00
Will Brittany Allen – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series? · No0.8791.000$50.00+$6.05
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes0.5400.715$35.75+$8.75
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · No0.5400.705$35.25+$8.25
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.915$18.30+$0.50
Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland? · No0.8800.860$17.20−$0.40
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · No0.7900.855$17.10+$1.30
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.785$15.70−$1.10
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? · Yes0.4900.150$7.50−$17.00
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? · Yes0.2400.130$6.50−$5.50
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.215$4.30+$1.70
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.5500.385$3.85−$1.65
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · Yes0.1800.145$2.90−$0.70
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · Yes0.2000.115$2.30−$1.70
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.7100.110$2.20−$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 22:07Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?SELL0.83$16.60
09-02 16:14US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?SELL0.11$2.20
08-28 20:18Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?SELL0.56$11.20
08-23 14:23Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.31$2.82
08-20 07:15Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?SELL0.22$4.40
08-20 07:14Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará?SELL0.89$17.80
08-19 03:22Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.39$7.80
08-18 04:01Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 18?SELL0.3$6.00
08-18 04:00Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?SELL0.51322$10.26
08-18 04:00Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 19?SELL0.74$14.80
08-18 04:00Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?SELL0.77$15.40
08-17 19:22Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 19?SELL0.29$5.80
08-17 06:01Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?SELL0.15$3.00
08-17 06:01Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 17?SELL0.26$5.20
08-17 06:01Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?SELL0.44$8.80