PolyBot

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Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.041. down 0.002 over the period, from 0.043. Range 0.035 to 0.054. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0491515
0.0512439
0.058130169
0.071167336
0.07216352
0.07434386
0.07769455
0.08348503
0.08485588
0.08515603
0.086125728
0.08733761

Spread0.016Mid0.041

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0338989
0.032183272
0.02148320
0.019100420
0.0129429
0.01137466
0.010224690
0.009272962
0.0069971
0.00520991
0.004251,016
0.0032901,306

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9678989
0.968183272
0.97948320
0.981100420
0.9889429
0.98937466
0.990224690
0.991272962
0.9949971
0.99520991
0.996251,016
0.9972901,306

Spread0.016Mid0.959

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9511515
0.9492439
0.942130169
0.929167336
0.92816352
0.92634386
0.92369455
0.91748503
0.91685588
0.91515603
0.914125728
0.91333761

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
wavesintheskyYes1,842.11
asdasdasdasdasdasdasdYes446.07
kvinsterYes438.75
alexhstvYes325.1
edmundthegreatYes293.45
aoxiaomiYes254.45
donthackmeYes235.82
banestowYes207.35
ACaraYes177.54
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes166.73
0xa8485E499d597746088ed85f15f4693FB1C78A1F-1771191606733Yes159.81
0x34a42279ADYes145.63
LornaPredictsYes143.23
cry.eth2Yes135.88
2B9SYes128.58
gummy-usbYes121
0x14117f3428c9Fc84b57cF7961b5e9E5F6Dce2410-1773994627349Yes102.24
xiaodouziYes100
JustBotYes97.99
jennylulu2016Yes94

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
06:07:27BUYNo0.9655$4.83
06:07:23BUYNo0.96499999795$4.58
06:07:17BUYNo0.965999999324$23.25
06:07:17BUYNo0.9657$6.75
06:07:17BUYNo0.9653$2.90
06:07:17BUYNo0.96520$19.30
06:07:17BUYNo0.96510$9.65
21:21:08BUYNo0.96810$9.68
20:58:30BUYYes0.042423$0.95
20:58:23BUYYes0.04423$1.02
20:58:06BUYYes0.042464188137$1.55
20:52:05BUYNo0.9565$4.68
20:43:53BUYNo0.96820$19.36
20:43:53BUYNo0.96837$35.43
20:43:53BUYNo0.96837$35.44
20:43:42BUYNo0.96710$9.67
20:43:42BUYNo0.96610$9.66
20:43:41BUYNo0.9665$4.45
20:43:41BUYNo0.96625$24.53
20:35:48BUYYes0.03214$0.43
20:11:51BUYNo0.9715$4.85
20:11:51BUYNo0.9793182540$39.17
06:11:12SELLYes0.02810$0.27
07:12:45SELLYes0.03310$0.33
01:31:21SELLYes0.0440$1.60