aoxiaomi
0xd4b4addf45e59779368110c675b9f8e191c8cec6
- Realised P&L
- $-53.91
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $9.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.040 | $10.18 | +$0.18 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? · No | 0.339 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? · Yes | 0.562 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.68at 0.655Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$116.67at 0.300Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$74.23at 0.854US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$45.99at 0.685Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
- +$27.61at 0.784Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 11:01 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.299999997 | $50.00 |
| 06-25 10:46 | Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | BUY | 0.0393004965 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 10:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $100.00 |
| 05-04 13:02 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.6549962997 | $250.00 |
| 03-25 14:02 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.8543060005 | $435.24 |
| 03-09 14:41 | US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | BUY | 0.3391522879 | $200.00 |
| 03-07 08:50 | Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | BUY | 0.685 | $100.00 |
| 03-07 08:47 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.7836664075 | $100.00 |
| 03-07 08:45 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | BUY | 0.5618388627 | $150.00 |