banestow
0x30802ddd7117da69c05b2eb6327e94474192337b
- Realised P&L
- $-7.6k
- Volume
- $120.0k
- Markets traded
- 244
- Open portfolio
- $18.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded244
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.389Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
- +$406.86at 0.543Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?
- +$229.34at 0.637Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
- +$148.70at 0.247Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
- +$138.85at 0.570Will Warsh say "President" during July Press Conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 19:30 | Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat? | SELL | 0.5678705036 | $236.80 |
| 08-01 11:21 | Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? | SELL | 0.27 | $18.90 |
| 07-31 08:00 | Will Scott Wiener win the CA-11 House seat? | SELL | 0.73 | $43.07 |
| 07-30 17:05 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | SELL | 0.8371755172 | $971.12 |
| 07-30 11:43 | Will Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee? | SELL | 0.3 | $20.70 |
| 07-30 03:17 | Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.55 | $8.25 |
| 07-30 00:27 | Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? | SELL | 0.43 | $45.15 |
| 07-29 22:12 | Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat? | SELL | 0.5522063492 | $104.37 |
| 07-29 20:18 | Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.60 |
| 07-29 18:48 | Will Warsh say "President" during July Press Conference? | SELL | 0.81 | $4.86 |
| 07-29 14:35 | Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06? | BUY | 0.7920703854 | $80.00 |
| 07-29 14:35 | Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.5988031882 | $95.70 |
| 07-29 13:10 | Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? | BUY | 0.79 | $13.81 |
| 07-29 13:01 | Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.1249116392 | $17.55 |
| 07-29 13:00 | Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.0584845668 | $16.17 |