PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

banestow

0x30802ddd7117da69c05b2eb6327e94474192337b

Realised P&L
$-7.6k
Volume
$120.0k
Markets traded
244
Open portfolio
$18.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded244
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 19:30Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?SELL0.5678705036$236.80
08-01 11:21Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?SELL0.27$18.90
07-31 08:00Will Scott Wiener win the CA-11 House seat?SELL0.73$43.07
07-30 17:05Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?SELL0.8371755172$971.12
07-30 11:43Will Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?SELL0.3$20.70
07-30 03:17Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?SELL0.55$8.25
07-30 00:27Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?SELL0.43$45.15
07-29 22:12Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?SELL0.5522063492$104.37
07-29 20:18Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06?SELL0.2$0.60
07-29 18:48Will Warsh say "President" during July Press Conference?SELL0.81$4.86
07-29 14:35Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06?BUY0.7920703854$80.00
07-29 14:35Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.5988031882$95.70
07-29 13:10Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?BUY0.79$13.81
07-29 13:01Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?BUY0.1249116392$17.55
07-29 13:00Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?BUY0.0584845668$16.17