banestow
0x30802ddd7117da69c05b2eb6327e94474192337b
- Realised P&L
- $-8.4k
- Volume
- $224.5k
- Markets traded
- 495
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded495
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.291Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$1.0kat 0.400Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
- +$398.43at 0.553Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?
- +$333.21at 0.771Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$322.38at 0.802U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 09:49 | Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year? | SELL | 0.91 | $12.74 |
| 10-31 08:18 | Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year? | SELL | 0.91 | $12.74 |
| 10-30 14:47 | Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.91 |
| 10-30 13:58 | Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.91 |
| 10-30 10:13 | Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.91 |
| 10-29 16:33 | Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.04 |
| 10-29 16:33 | Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | SELL | 0.013998 | $0.14 |
| 10-29 16:33 | Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.15 |
| 10-29 16:33 | Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.15 |
| 10-29 16:33 | Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.15 |
| 10-29 16:33 | Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.15 |
| 10-29 16:33 | Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.15 |
| 10-29 16:33 | Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.15 |
| 10-29 09:01 | Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award? | SELL | 0.9322226596 | $87.63 |
| 10-29 06:45 | Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award? | SELL | 0.972 | $23.33 |