PolyBot

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Traders

banestow

0x30802ddd7117da69c05b2eb6327e94474192337b

Realised P&L
$-7.8k
Volume
$187.2k
Markets traded
494
Open portfolio
$21.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded494
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? · No0.7760.875$4.0k+$454.78
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? · No0.8640.964$1.6k+$164.46
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.7640.740$1.6k$51.81
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? · No0.7960.895$1.4k+$150.97
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? · No0.9170.972$583.49+$32.83
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? · No0.6640.815$440.94+$81.85
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December? · Yes0.2030.075$416.31$712.57
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? · No0.7070.935$406.52+$99.06
Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026? · No0.7850.875$404.49+$41.56
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? · No0.5810.810$353.80+$99.97
Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year? · No0.7800.860$352.60+$32.80
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2150.199$289.78$24.26
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-06 House seat? · Yes0.9500.948$284.25$0.75
Will the Republican Party win the PA-06 House seat? · No0.9500.945$283.50$1.50
Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year? · No0.7640.785$281.28+$7.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 16:00Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?SELL0.027$0.92
09-17 15:59Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.0376670845$22.52
09-17 15:03Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?SELL0.684$36.94
09-17 13:52Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?SELL0.16$0.32
09-17 13:51Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?BUY0.18$32.58
09-17 12:15Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?BUY0.2457659443$25.00
09-17 11:54Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?BUY0.342$34.20
09-17 09:45Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?BUY0.6899999957$70.00
09-17 09:33Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.035$4.20
09-17 09:01Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?BUY0.14$14.00
09-17 04:05Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year?SELL0.9$18.00
09-17 03:51Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year?SELL0.9$7.20
09-16 10:13Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year?SELL0.879047619$36.92
09-16 05:53Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year?BUY0.78$374.40
09-16 04:58Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year?BUY0.72$14.40