banestow
0x30802ddd7117da69c05b2eb6327e94474192337b
- Realised P&L
- $-7.8k
- Volume
- $187.2k
- Markets traded
- 494
- Open portfolio
- $21.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded494
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.291Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$1.0kat 0.400Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
- +$398.43at 0.553Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?
- +$259.51at 0.098Will Rebecca Cooke be the WI-03 Democratic nominee?
- +$222.06at 0.648Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:00 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | SELL | 0.027 | $0.92 |
| 09-17 15:59 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.0376670845 | $22.52 |
| 09-17 15:03 | Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | SELL | 0.684 | $36.94 |
| 09-17 13:52 | Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.32 |
| 09-17 13:51 | Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $32.58 |
| 09-17 12:15 | Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? | BUY | 0.2457659443 | $25.00 |
| 09-17 11:54 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.342 | $34.20 |
| 09-17 09:45 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999957 | $70.00 |
| 09-17 09:33 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.035 | $4.20 |
| 09-17 09:01 | Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 09-17 04:05 | Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year? | SELL | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 09-17 03:51 | Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year? | SELL | 0.9 | $7.20 |
| 09-16 10:13 | Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year? | SELL | 0.879047619 | $36.92 |
| 09-16 05:53 | Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year? | BUY | 0.78 | $374.40 |
| 09-16 04:58 | Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year? | BUY | 0.72 | $14.40 |