0xa8485E499d597746088ed85f15f4693FB1C78A1F-1771191606733
0xa8485e499d597746088ed85f15f4693fb1c78a1f
- Realised P&L
- $-221.20
- Volume
- $18.3k
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$208.12at 0.160Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?
- +$165.75at 0.069Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$121.38at 0.191Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?
- +$118.96at 0.430Will Drake feature Travis Scott on ICEMAN?
- +$112.80at 0.248Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:08 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8949999999 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 19:25 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3989999983 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 22:13 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $100.00 |
| 05-28 21:29 | Will Trump announce Aaron Lukas as the next Director of National Intelligence? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.21 |
| 05-27 21:01 | Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | BUY | 0.78 | $10.92 |
| 05-25 19:16 | Will Trump announce Elise Stefanik as the next Director of National Intelligence? | BUY | 0.87 | $91.35 |
| 05-25 11:48 | Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5859306066 | $51.00 |
| 05-25 10:15 | Will Trump announce Aaron Lukas as the next Director of National Intelligence? | BUY | 0.1793181818 | $15.78 |
| 05-25 08:51 | Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.79677487 | $197.59 |
| 05-24 21:47 | Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.2018816954 | $8.67 |
| 05-24 13:13 | Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19? | BUY | 0.45 | $32.42 |
| 05-24 12:00 | Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | BUY | 0.0329215318 | $5.26 |
| 05-24 10:54 | Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.8513081871 | $78.09 |
| 05-24 10:50 | Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.76 | $115.74 |
| 05-24 10:48 | Will Trump announce Richard Grenell as the next Director of National Intelligence? | BUY | 0.88 | $97.84 |