kvinster
0xb17116d701c3539d3a88a3956b0225c8d82aa647
- Realised P&L
- $-395.56
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $45.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.58at 0.380Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
- +$79.61at 0.715Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
- +$47.06at 0.680Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 12:38 | Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7176618562 | $100.00 |
| 04-08 12:33 | Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam? | BUY | 0.475592416 | $50.00 |
| 04-08 12:32 | Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1722281218 | $50.00 |
| 04-08 12:32 | Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | BUY | 0.113960114 | $50.00 |
| 04-08 12:31 | Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | BUY | 0.1272288352 | $50.00 |
| 04-08 12:31 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 04-08 12:30 | Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.3028106143 | $50.00 |
| 04-08 12:29 | Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999981 | $100.00 |
| 04-08 12:27 | Claude 4.7 released by May 31? | BUY | 0.5799999988 | $50.00 |
| 04-08 12:26 | Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BUY | 0.4399999981 | $100.00 |
| 04-08 12:23 | GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1646610283 | $50.00 |
| 04-08 12:22 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.1710366532 | $50.00 |
| 04-08 12:22 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $50.00 |
| 04-08 12:19 | Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3332366258 | $50.00 |
| 04-08 12:19 | Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999964 | $50.00 |