Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-07-01
Resolves by: https://tcdata.typhoon.org.cn/en/dlrdqx.html
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.29. Unchanged over the period, from 0.29. Range 0.28 to 0.44. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.31	256	256
0.32	163	418
0.34	271	689
0.39	109	798
0.42	16	814
0.44	65	879
0.45	73	952
0.46	5	957
0.51	195	1,152
0.52	20	1,172
0.56	317	1,489
0.57	147	1,636

Spread0.03Mid0.30

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.28	77	77
0.27	100	177
0.26	170	347
0.17	91	439
0.12	40	479
0.11	830	1,309
0.10	3,051	4,360
0.09	25	4,385
0.02	20	4,405
0.01	500	4,905

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.72	77	77
0.73	100	177
0.74	170	347
0.83	91	439
0.88	40	479
0.89	830	1,309
0.90	3,051	4,360
0.91	25	4,385
0.98	20	4,405
0.99	500	4,905

Spread0.03Mid0.70

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.69	256	256
0.68	163	418
0.66	271	689
0.61	109	798
0.58	16	814
0.56	65	879
0.55	73	952
0.54	5	957
0.49	195	1,152
0.48	20	1,172
0.44	317	1,489
0.43	147	1,636

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
CNPre	Yes	4,679.99
FinStar	Yes	1,568.76
PontiusPilate	Yes	1,339.85
dsfd3	Yes	620
0x64B2Df86320431478146E55fbBD10C012502a9f8-1776646852678	Yes	400
climateprofessor	Yes	386.22
Bertrame686	Yes	339.87
ISddI	Yes	271
LocalHunter	Yes	208.33
Haradwaith	Yes	199.99
QUUN	Yes	155.64
0x3a9d…f332	Yes	110.19
SPLPB	Yes	109
0xFcA82164a87B8BA38e887bD594483d29a23c5795-1783087528596	Yes	108.45
JesusFK	Yes	83.4
AJSV	Yes	80.67
zhili6648	Yes	80
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	70.19
rocky42007	Yes	64.37
lplplplplplp	Yes	64

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
05:28:54	BUY	Yes	0.3	5	$1.50
03:23:41	BUY	Yes	0.3	5	$1.50
15:35:56	BUY	Yes	0.3088383663	50	$15.50
15:35:51	SELL	No	0.7	21	$14.58
15:25:06	SELL	Yes	0.26	10	$2.60
15:24:03	SELL	Yes	0.27	45	$12.15
15:23:59	SELL	Yes	0.26	15	$3.94
15:23:57	SELL	Yes	0.27	35	$9.41
15:23:57	BUY	Yes	0.299999985	7	$2.00
15:23:56	BUY	Yes	0.299999985	7	$2.00
15:23:56	SELL	Yes	0.27	50	$13.50
15:23:56	SELL	Yes	0.26	50	$13.00
15:23:56	SELL	Yes	0.26	50	$13.00
15:23:56	SELL	Yes	0.26	50	$13.00
15:23:56	SELL	Yes	0.27	5	$1.35
15:23:54	SELL	Yes	0.3	27	$8.00
15:23:23	BUY	No	0.6899999947	44	$30.13
15:23:23	SELL	Yes	0.38	3	$1.16
15:23:21	BUY	No	0.6199999963	75	$46.67
15:23:20	BUY	No	0.5988734656	3,687	$2208.08
15:23:20	BUY	No	0.6199998512	2	$1.00
14:00:32	BUY	Yes	0.4147382199	69	$28.52
13:42:18	SELL	No	0.59	14	$8.15
05:30:29	SELL	No	0.58	31	$17.98
00:19:59	SELL	No	0.546	50	$27.30