Bertrame686
0x2c576d00e8e76c133e33dbb82b70eb5de78f372d
- Realised P&L
- $15.6k
- Volume
- $1.76M
- Markets traded
- 2,517
- Open portfolio
- $98.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,517
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.279Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?
- +$2.5kat 0.120Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?
- +$1.7kat 0.191Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?
- +$1.2kat 0.320Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 30?
- +$865.54at 0.186Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 16:37 | Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $200.52 |
| 08-27 00:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 27? | BUY | 0.97 | $15.03 |
| 08-27 00:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 27? | BUY | 0.97 | $5.82 |
| 08-27 00:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 27? | BUY | 0.96 | $34.38 |
| 08-26 08:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 27? | SELL | 0.22 | $31.70 |
| 08-26 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $110.88 |
| 08-26 07:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 26? | BUY | 0.9739260077 | $52.91 |
| 08-26 07:58 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 26? | BUY | 0.79 | $2.37 |
| 08-26 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26? | BUY | 0.8760211454 | $149.14 |
| 08-26 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26? | BUY | 0.9510030349 | $200.00 |
| 08-26 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 08-26 03:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26? | BUY | 0.29 | $7.62 |
| 08-26 03:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 26? | SELL | 0.408 | $4.08 |
| 08-26 03:19 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 26? | SELL | 0.3538277512 | $7.40 |
| 08-26 03:16 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 26? | SELL | 0.25 | $12.00 |