PolyBot

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Traders

Bertrame686

0x2c576d00e8e76c133e33dbb82b70eb5de78f372d

Realised P&L
$15.6k
Volume
$1.76M
Markets traded
2,517
Open portfolio
$98.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,517
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · Yes0.5900.290$98.56−$101.96
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 21? · Yes0.6740.000$0.00−$96.08
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 29? · Yes0.3190.000$0.00−$82.46
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17? · Yes0.3560.000$0.00−$96.55
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C or below on July 25? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 28? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00−$27.47
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 21? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$15.84
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C on August 12? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$12.02
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on August 2? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 26? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$17.77
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 14? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on August 11? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00−$89.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on July 3? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$3.09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8? · Yes0.3580.000$0.00−$191.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-27 16:37Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?BUY0.59$200.52
08-27 00:24Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 27?BUY0.97$15.03
08-27 00:24Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 27?BUY0.97$5.82
08-27 00:15Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 27?BUY0.96$34.38
08-26 08:32Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 27?SELL0.22$31.70
08-26 08:01Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 26?BUY0.99$110.88
08-26 07:59Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 26?BUY0.9739260077$52.91
08-26 07:58Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 26?BUY0.79$2.37
08-26 07:57Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?BUY0.8760211454$149.14
08-26 07:57Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?BUY0.9510030349$200.00
08-26 07:57Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?BUY0.95$19.00
08-26 03:36Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?BUY0.29$7.62
08-26 03:20Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 26?SELL0.408$4.08
08-26 03:19Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 26?SELL0.3538277512$7.40
08-26 03:16Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 26?SELL0.25$12.00