PolyBot

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Traders

QUUN

0x0f9995d604e0db755e91b26651767d64a6fc6734

Realised P&L
$-14.8k
Volume
$1.11M
Markets traded
4,363
Open portfolio
$586.40

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,363
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration97.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Petar Musa win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? · No0.7800.625$72.56$17.92
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 30%-35%? · No0.8200.705$54.07$8.82
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 45%-50%? · No0.8500.715$47.43$8.95
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0700.231$46.10+$32.10
Will Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election? · No0.8800.775$41.00$5.56
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 25%-30%? · No0.8500.695$38.92$8.68
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? · Yes0.7300.190$28.50$81.01
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft? · No0.6000.465$26.10$7.58
Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026? · No0.8800.690$24.84$6.84
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? · No0.8800.685$24.66$7.02
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,250,000 and 4,500,000? · No0.7900.615$22.14$6.30
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000? · No0.7900.505$18.68$10.54
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 110-114 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · No0.8001.000$15.99+$3.19
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No0.3100.125$15.88$23.50
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours? · No0.7800.765$15.30$0.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 23:54Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?SELL0.3$15.00
09-09 23:53Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?SELL0.7$4.90
09-09 18:38Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.67$134.00
09-09 18:37Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?SELL0.58$29.00
09-09 17:33Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election?SELL0.21$8.40
09-09 17:15Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 11?SELL0.2$6.60
09-09 17:05Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 10?SELL0.19$6.74
09-09 15:37Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?SELL0.43$36.55
09-09 15:36Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?SELL0.2909897436$22.70
09-09 15:30Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in September?SELL0.3878043704$14.91
09-09 15:08Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on September 10?SELL0.85$12.69
09-09 13:48Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 10?SELL0.13$3.28
09-09 13:30Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 10?SELL0.1493720712$3.19
09-09 12:41Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September?SELL0.3$14.40
09-09 11:34Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?SELL0.046$2.07