PolyBot

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Traders

FinStar

0x4b8f9b76b339e276a6cc4129c08f4015c6494a0f

Realised P&L
$-6.0k
Volume
$318.1k
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$30.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 14:07Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.849$5.3k
09-25 14:00Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?BUY0.4147382199$28.52
09-25 14:00Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?BUY0.7784600227$267.07
04-04 16:07Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.01$60.00
04-04 16:03Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.017$55.25
04-04 16:00Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.012$80.00
04-04 15:58Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.83$1.3k
03-12 14:34Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.3783332405$1000.00
01-19 18:30US strike on Mexico by January 31?SELL0.9680205519$1.3k
01-09 04:15US strike on Mexico by January 31?BUY0.7419159517$880.34
01-09 04:14US strike on Mexico by December 31?BUY0.5943636364$980.70
11-20 23:42Will Trump disparage Zohran Mamdani on Friday?BUY0.49$29.40
10-29 19:39Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.008$40.00
10-29 19:39Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.008$40.00
10-29 19:35No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?BUY0.32$200.00