PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x268fdffd3948324b3e6623a420867e59b7b1bbd7

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
2,679
Open portfolio
$2.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unknown — No blocker in what little is known, but the signals that catch a lucky streak are missing. Inspect the wallet directly before drawing a conclusion.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
CautionMarkets traded2,679
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.2800.225$100.44−$24.55
Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30? · Yes0.7700.700$90.91−$9.09
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.5800.485$81.19−$15.90
Will Barcelona score the most goals in the UCL league phase? · Yes0.4500.280$76.43−$46.41
Will XRP hit $2 by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7300.540$73.97−$26.03
Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government? · Yes0.4000.285$71.25−$28.75
Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 52.0 or higher? · Yes0.7400.525$70.94−$29.05
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 0%-3%? · Yes0.2800.212$68.43−$21.74
Will Liberal–National win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election? · Yes0.3000.245$66.44−$14.92
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.3600.235$65.28−$34.72
Will IShowSpeed win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards? · Yes0.7700.675$65.24−$9.18
Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5400.440$64.26−$14.61
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? · Yes0.2790.240$64.00−$10.32
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election by 10%-15%? · Yes0.2900.200$63.36−$28.51
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · Yes0.2000.125$62.50−$37.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 14:26Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?SELL0.79$0.23
11-02 14:26Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seat in Tennessee in the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.13$0.31
11-02 14:25Government shutdown by December 12?SELL0.31$0.99
11-02 14:25Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-01 House election by 35%-40%?SELL0.27$1.35
11-02 14:23Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?SELL0.37$9.53
11-02 13:11Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 0%-5%?SELL0.27$13.69
11-02 13:01Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?SELL0.3434340118$10.46
11-02 13:01Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?SELL0.37$6.10
11-02 12:57Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?SELL0.68$80.00
11-02 12:42Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.45$19.85
11-02 12:42Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.45$2.15
11-02 12:40Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?SELL0.3$77.42
11-02 12:10Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?SELL0.77$80.00
11-02 12:09Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 0%-5%?SELL0.29$8.39
11-02 11:59Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.4$3.66
Trader 0x268f…bbd7 · PolyBot Pro