PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

JesusFK

0x268fdffd3948324b3e6623a420867e59b7b1bbd7

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$165.9k
Markets traded
667
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded667
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration76.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 06:35Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 4?SELL0.33$72.60
08-03 06:29Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 4?SELL0.29$8.11
08-03 06:14Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 4?SELL0.38$2.30
08-03 05:41Iran full airspace closure by September 30?SELL0.27$87.10
08-03 05:28Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?SELL0.42$1.51
08-03 05:17Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.21$4.85
08-03 04:40Iran full airspace closure by December 31?SELL0.4$95.24
08-03 03:45Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?SELL0.64$96.97
08-03 03:12Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.29$96.67
08-03 02:22Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 4?SELL0.34$2.76
08-03 02:02Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4?SELL0.23$71.88
08-03 01:49Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4?SELL0.3$3.00
08-03 01:41Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?SELL0.43$2.15
08-03 01:13Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?SELL0.2635786787$90.89
08-03 01:12Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 4?SELL0.35$1.36