ISddI
0x655cfdb07874f3f8a53486989f805aa7c99d4420
- Realised P&L
- $-3.8k
- Volume
- $278.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,034
- Open portfolio
- $33.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,034
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 6? · No | 0.520 | 0.485 | $12.92 | −$0.93 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5? · No | 0.590 | 0.535 | $11.29 | −$1.16 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 5? · No | 0.550 | 0.520 | $5.78 | −$0.33 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 6? · No | 0.720 | 0.660 | $3.30 | −$0.30 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on July 8? · No | 0.103 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 21? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.70 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 17? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.41 |
| Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 28 be between 86 and 89? · No | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.038Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- +$147.59at 0.399England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?
- +$137.68at 0.033Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 3?
- +$131.36at 0.172Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?
- +$99.18at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:42 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.72 | $10.80 |
| 08-04 18:56 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.5 | $2.24 |
| 08-04 16:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.59 | $0.93 |
| 08-04 11:08 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.46 | $3.68 |
| 08-04 07:34 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.47 | $1.41 |
| 08-03 18:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.59 | $6.40 |
| 08-03 17:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.39 | $51.87 |
| 08-03 17:06 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4657484457 | $19.48 |
| 08-03 11:21 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 08-03 09:33 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $50.04 |
| 08-03 09:32 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 08-03 09:28 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.52 | $2.24 |
| 08-03 09:24 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.47 | $8.86 |
| 08-03 09:23 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3724630542 | $7.56 |
| 08-03 09:22 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |