PolyBot

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Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-01
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.004. up 0.004 over the period, from 0.001. Range 0.001 to 0.005. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.009100100
0.0107107
0.012156263
0.0207270
0.0306276
0.05110286
0.05282368
0.06250418
0.06350468
0.06456524
0.10595619
0.10630649

SpreadMid

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

SpreadMid

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.991100100
0.9907107
0.988156263
0.9807270
0.9706276
0.94910286
0.94882368
0.93850418
0.93750468
0.93656524
0.89595619
0.89430649

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
caspar1248Yes1,324
e46m3Yes1,256.5
Z91EXYes947.99
x1099Yes500
god83743894Yes178.68
merodYes156
0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256Yes150
northdrawerYes145
smallreceiptYes130.69
mustbethewaterYes121
0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060Yes116
quietparcelYes112.42
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Yes100
TENETENETYes99.99
godblessme2026Yes63.52
Numitus1994Yes55.82
a5533Yes50
.MentheYes49.99
PollyForgeYes26
AJSVYes24.09

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:01:13SELLYes0.00157$0.06
08:49:12BUYYes0.0010548622948$1.00
14:28:43BUYNo0.99934$34.37
14:25:42BUYNo0.9996$5.99
14:25:10BUYNo0.99940$39.96
14:25:10BUYNo0.99940$39.96
12:38:09BUYNo0.99910$9.99
12:38:07BUYNo0.99925$24.98
12:33:21BUYNo0.99910$9.99
12:33:21BUYNo0.99910$9.99
18:26:19BUYNo0.99971$70.93
18:26:18BUYNo0.99935$34.97
18:26:13BUYNo0.99925$24.98
18:26:13BUYNo0.999153$152.45
12:17:03SELLYes0.0015$0.01
02:40:36BUYNo0.9996$5.99
08:55:16BUYNo0.99910$9.99
08:35:15BUYNo0.99912$11.99
08:35:15SELLYes0.0016$0.01
08:34:52BUYNo0.99915$14.98
08:34:22BUYNo0.99912$11.99
19:07:48BUYNo0.99923$22.56
01:04:49SELLYes0.0016$0.01
01:02:15BUYNo0.99940$39.96
01:02:15BUYNo0.99940$39.96