PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060

0xfbd8c9c22ca76b3662d0e53a4f79719fdc684027

Realised P&L
$219.2k
Volume
$15.75M
Markets traded
39,040
Open portfolio
$306.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded39,040
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? · No0.9980.999$13.98+$0.01
Will Luma AI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? · No0.9980.998$13.96$0.01
Will Meta have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? · No0.9970.995$13.92$0.04
Will Recraft have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? · No0.9960.995$13.92$0.02
Will Tencent have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? · No0.9980.994$13.92$0.06
Will Ideogram have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? · No0.9980.993$13.90$0.07
Will Microsoft AI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? · No0.9980.987$13.82$0.15
Will Black Forest Labs have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? · No0.9980.986$13.80$0.17
Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? · No0.9980.985$13.79$0.18
Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? · No0.9980.974$13.64$0.34
Will Reve have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? · No0.9980.912$12.77$1.20
Will Alibaba have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? · No0.7100.885$12.39+$2.45
Will Nvidia have the #3 AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0310.305$6.41+$5.75
Will Donald Trump endorse Thomas Massie in the 2028 US Presidential election? · Yes0.0130.380$6.08+$5.86
Will Mistral have the #3 AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0310.245$5.14+$4.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:59Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 3?BUY0.996$4.98
08-03 03:59Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 3?BUY0.979$4.89
08-03 03:59Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 3?BUY0.44$2.20
08-03 03:59Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 3?BUY0.56$2.80
08-03 03:59Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 3?BUY0.978$26.41
08-03 03:59Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3?BUY0.8$21.60
08-03 03:59Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3?BUY0.71$19.17
08-03 03:59Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on August 3?BUY0.999$26.97
08-03 03:59Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 3?BUY0.996$26.89
08-03 03:59Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?BUY0.49$13.23
08-03 03:57Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3?BUY0.78$6.24
08-03 03:57Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 3?BUY0.98$7.84
08-03 03:57Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on August 3?BUY0.999$7.99
08-03 03:57Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3?BUY0.741875$5.93
08-03 03:57Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 3?BUY0.996$7.97