PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060

0xfbd8c9c22ca76b3662d0e53a4f79719fdc684027

Realised P&L
$525.8k
Volume
$18.77M
Markets traded
65,799
Open portfolio
$313.63

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded65,799
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration71.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manchester United finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential? · Yes0.0240.215$9.68+$8.60
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 17? · No0.9990.997$8.27$0.02
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0290.001$5.55$321.15
Will PSV Eindhoven finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential? · Yes0.0240.095$4.28+$3.20
Will LASK finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential? · Yes0.0240.095$4.28+$3.20
Will VfB Stuttgart finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential? · Yes0.0240.095$4.28+$3.20
Will Slovan Bratislava finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential? · Yes0.0240.095$4.28+$3.20
Will Roma finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential? · Yes0.0240.095$4.28+$3.20
Will Club Brugge finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential? · Yes0.0240.095$4.28+$3.20
Will Napoli finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential? · Yes0.0240.095$4.28+$3.20
Will Real Betis finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential? · Yes0.0240.095$4.28+$3.20
Will Bodø/Glimt finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential? · Yes0.0240.095$4.28+$3.20
Will Porto finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential? · Yes0.0240.095$4.28+$3.20
Will Galatasaray finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential? · Yes0.0240.095$4.28+$3.20
Will Fenerbahçe finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential? · Yes0.0240.095$4.28+$3.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 07:16Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 18?BUY0.56$5.60
09-17 07:16Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 18?BUY0.79$7.90
09-17 07:16Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18?BUY0.74$7.40
09-17 07:16Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.88$8.80
09-17 07:03Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.999$19.98
09-17 07:03Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.988$19.76
09-17 07:03Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.98$19.60
09-17 07:03Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.773$15.46
09-17 07:03Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.26$5.20
09-17 07:03Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.997$19.94
09-17 07:03Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.957$19.14
09-17 07:03Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.85$17.00
09-17 07:03Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.769$15.38
09-17 07:03Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.89$17.80
09-17 07:03Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.71$14.20