0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060
0xfbd8c9c22ca76b3662d0e53a4f79719fdc684027
- Realised P&L
- $525.8k
- Volume
- $18.77M
- Markets traded
- 65,799
- Open portfolio
- $313.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded65,799
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$290.7kat 0.001Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$90.5kat 0.003Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
- +$88.1kat 0.052Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$39.2kat 0.073Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
- +$37.0kat 0.030Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 07:16 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 09-17 07:16 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 09-17 07:16 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18? | BUY | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 09-17 07:16 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 09-17 07:03 | Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-17 07:03 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.988 | $19.76 |
| 09-17 07:03 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 09-17 07:03 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.773 | $15.46 |
| 09-17 07:03 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 09-17 07:03 | Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.94 |
| 09-17 07:03 | Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.957 | $19.14 |
| 09-17 07:03 | Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 09-17 07:03 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.769 | $15.38 |
| 09-17 07:03 | Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 09-17 07:03 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.71 | $14.20 |