PolyBot

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Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Resolves by
https://lmarena.ai/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.001. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.002. Range 0.001 to 0.002. 147 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0016,6576,657
0.00216,57223,229
0.00311,90035,129
0.0049,43344,562
0.00550045,062
0.0091,77146,833
0.0105046,883
0.01268947,571
0.013547,576
0.0161047,586
0.0174047,626
0.0195047,676

Spread—Mid—

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

Spread—Mid—

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9996,6576,657
0.99816,57223,229
0.99711,90035,129
0.9969,43344,562
0.99550045,062
0.9911,77146,833
0.9905046,883
0.98868947,571
0.987547,576
0.9841047,586
0.9834047,626
0.9815047,676

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
fiuehyizhyfirytgeYes81,413.79
AnimalEaterYes29,423.09
valentovastanYes9,433
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938Yes7,635
Crypto-WellYes5,211.11
jozeslemsekYes5,000
BabyGrootYes4,817.18
0x54d9…266eYes2,000
0x65de…9d0eYes2,000
0xb92b…0a74Yes2,000
balthazarYes1,999.55
plygdYes1,666.67
0x91819e7ddB7250B459aa9dAD828b05bF976364ac-1768087232866Yes966.5
cigarettesYes690.33
acalYes677.04
0xe564…3692Yes666.67
lpgbYes635
0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758Yes624
HerrieDavisYes615.74
xtxpleasecallmeYes601.99

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
12:04:36BUYYes0.0012,000$2.00
09:59:36BUYYes0.0012,000$2.00
17:35:58BUYYes0.0012,000$2.00
09:17:07SELLYes0.0016,506$6.51
08:23:37SELLYes0.001926$0.93
08:23:37SELLYes0.001164$0.16
06:15:07SELLYes0.0013,381$3.38
06:14:27SELLYes0.00131,618$31.62
22:37:52SELLYes0.001200$0.20
22:37:19SELLYes0.001200$0.20
21:44:40SELLYes0.001165$0.16
21:44:40SELLYes0.001184$0.18
21:44:25SELLYes0.00150$0.05
21:44:24SELLYes0.001298$0.30
21:44:07BUYNo0.999101$101.37
21:44:06BUYNo0.99949$48.48
15:14:57SELLYes0.00165$0.06
15:14:54SELLYes0.00175$0.08
15:14:39BUYNo0.999100$99.90
15:14:39SELLYes0.001121$0.12
15:14:39BUYNo0.99930$29.97
15:14:39SELLYes0.00179$0.08
13:59:48SELLNo0.99843$42.97
13:51:00BUYNo0.99950$49.95
13:50:57BUYNo0.99970$69.93