Crypto-Well
0x4e39fdfc230f9312d93db03ab48c10fccf2d8cbf
- Realised P&L
- $5.4k
- Volume
- $22.34M
- Markets traded
- 1,905
- Open portfolio
- $374.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,905
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$581.91at 0.001Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?
- +$178.11at 0.001Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
- +$164.83at 0.001Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
- +$158.22at 0.001Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
- +$142.94at 0.002Trump out as President by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 08:12 | Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.38 |
| 10-31 06:22 | Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.83 |
| 10-31 06:19 | Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.52 |
| 10-31 06:18 | Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.15 |
| 10-31 06:15 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $13.00 |
| 10-31 06:15 | Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $3.38 |
| 10-31 06:14 | Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $31.62 |
| 10-31 06:13 | Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $17.46 |
| 10-31 06:12 | Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.15 |
| 10-31 06:12 | Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $26.94 |
| 10-31 06:10 | Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.001 | $30.08 |
| 10-31 04:54 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.21 |
| 10-31 04:47 | Will Labour Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.54 |
| 10-31 04:47 | Will Te Pāti Māori win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.45 |
| 10-31 04:47 | Will Carmel Sepuloni be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.15 |