PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x65de8a55c498254864956e2709da08e301f29d0e

0x65de8a55c498254864956e2709da08e301f29d0e

Realised P&L
$-110.07
Volume
$109.8k
Markets traded
184
Open portfolio
$55.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded184
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$5.00+$0.00
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$2.50−$2.50
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$2.50−$2.50
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$2.50−$2.50
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$2.50−$2.50
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$2.50−$2.50
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$2.50−$2.50
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$2.50−$2.50
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$2.50−$2.50
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$2.50−$2.50
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$2.50−$2.50
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0100.009$1.90−$0.10
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$1.03−$1.03
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$1.00−$1.00
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$1.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 11:55Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$2.00
11-01 10:01Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.001$2.00
11-01 10:00Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.01$2.00
11-01 10:00Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.001$2.00
11-01 09:59Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.001$2.00
11-01 09:59Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.001$2.00
11-01 09:58Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.001$2.00
11-01 09:57Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.001$2.00
11-01 09:57Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.001$2.00
11-01 09:49Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.001$2.00
11-01 09:49Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.001$2.00
11-01 09:48Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.001$5.00
11-01 09:48Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.001$5.00
11-01 09:47Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.001$5.00
11-01 09:41Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.001$5.00