0x54d917bae7eeea3c3dc4644a357d2e4aa9a8266e
0x54d917bae7eeea3c3dc4644a357d2e4aa9a8266e
- Realised P&L
- $-220.46
- Volume
- $226.8k
- Markets traded
- 317
- Open portfolio
- $57.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded317
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.87at 0.267Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$1.76at 0.691Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$1.41at 0.421Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
- +$1.22at 0.937Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
- +$1.13at 0.482Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:26 | Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 06:12 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 18:34 | Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 10-31 18:34 | Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $6.00 |
| 10-31 18:34 | Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $6.00 |
| 10-31 18:33 | Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 10-31 18:32 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 18:32 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 18:32 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 17:38 | Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 17:37 | Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 17:36 | Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 10-31 17:36 | Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 10-31 17:35 | Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 17:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on November 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |