0xb92b99249a7de3c246d8583ea2db85484f150a74
0xb92b99249a7de3c246d8583ea2db85484f150a74
- Realised P&L
- $-25.40
- Volume
- $109.7k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $90.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)11.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.82at 0.001Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$-0.06at 0.001Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$-0.06at 0.001Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$-0.06at 0.001Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$-0.10at 0.001Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:40 | Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 12:04 | Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 10:44 | Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 10:44 | Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 10:43 | Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 10:36 | 2026 Balance of Power: Other | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 10:35 | Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 10:34 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 10:34 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 10:28 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 10:23 | Will Waymo operate in 28-31 cities on December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 10:21 | Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 10:20 | Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 10:20 | Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 10:20 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |