PolyBot

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Traders

0xb92b99249a7de3c246d8583ea2db85484f150a74

0xb92b99249a7de3c246d8583ea2db85484f150a74

Realised P&L
$-25.40
Volume
$109.7k
Markets traded
112
Open portfolio
$90.97

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded112
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)11.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Waymo operate in 28-31 cities on December 31 2026? · Yes0.0020.006$7.20+$4.20
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0100.009$4.75−$0.25
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0110.009$4.23−$0.77
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0010.004$3.50+$2.50
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$2.50−$2.50
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$2.50−$2.50
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$2.50−$2.50
Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? · Yes0.0010.003$2.50+$1.50
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$2.50−$2.50
2026 Balance of Power: Other · Yes0.0010.001$2.50−$2.50
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$2.50−$2.50
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$2.50−$2.50
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$2.50−$2.50
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$2.50−$2.50
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$2.50−$2.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 12:40Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.001$5.00
11-01 12:04Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.001$2.00
11-01 10:44Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.001$5.00
11-01 10:44Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.001$5.00
11-01 10:43Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.001$5.00
11-01 10:362026 Balance of Power: OtherBUY0.001$5.00
11-01 10:35Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$2.00
11-01 10:34Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$2.00
11-01 10:34Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$2.00
11-01 10:28NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.001$5.00
11-01 10:23Will Waymo operate in 28-31 cities on December 31 2026?BUY0.01$2.00
11-01 10:21Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.001$5.00
11-01 10:20Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.001$5.00
11-01 10:20Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.001$5.00
11-01 10:20Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.01$5.00