0x91819e7ddB7250B459aa9dAD828b05bF976364ac-1768087232866
0x91819e7ddb7250b459aa9dad828b05bf976364ac
- Realised P&L
- $-830.26
- Volume
- $93.8k
- Markets traded
- 687
- Open portfolio
- $34.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded687
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.83at 0.285Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
- +$80.98at 0.626Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
- +$79.75at 0.395Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
- +$75.43at 0.425Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
- +$71.36at 0.127Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 17:04 | Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $3.10 |
| 09-09 17:04 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.018 | $4.15 |
| 09-09 17:04 | Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.031 | $4.31 |
| 09-09 17:04 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $3.99 |
| 09-09 17:04 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.009 | $4.27 |
| 09-09 17:04 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $4.37 |
| 09-09 17:04 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.036 | $6.60 |
| 09-09 17:04 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.0033801184 | $28.49 |
| 09-09 17:04 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.1288283079 | $56.01 |
| 09-08 15:18 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.05 | $4.17 |
| 09-08 15:18 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $6.85 |
| 09-08 15:18 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.1116318674 | $8.15 |
| 09-07 13:39 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.09 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 22:49 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $35.00 |
| 09-04 22:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |