Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-31
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs
Rewards: 40 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.56. up 0.45 over the period, from 0.12. Range 0.07 to 0.66. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.62	200	200
0.63	107	307
0.68	80	387
0.77	100	487
0.78	40	527
0.79	386	913
0.84	1,065	1,978
0.85	6	1,984
0.87	20	2,004
0.96	13	2,016
0.97	66	2,082
0.98	196	2,278

Spread0.11Mid0.56

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.51	30	30
0.50	206	236
0.40	610	846
0.30	10	856
0.29	40	896
0.28	20	916
0.21	476	1,392
0.20	315	1,707
0.15	2,699	4,406
0.14	74	4,480
0.12	40	4,520
0.11	40	4,560

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.49	30	30
0.50	206	236
0.60	610	846
0.70	10	856
0.71	40	896
0.72	20	916
0.79	476	1,392
0.80	315	1,707
0.85	2,699	4,406
0.86	74	4,480
0.88	40	4,520
0.89	40	4,560

Spread0.11Mid0.43

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.38	200	200
0.37	107	307
0.32	80	387
0.23	100	487
0.22	40	527
0.21	386	913
0.16	1,065	1,978
0.15	6	1,984
0.13	20	2,004
0.04	13	2,016
0.03	66	2,082
0.02	196	2,278

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
11B7c7e5D961	Yes	444.71
Contentious-Dinnerdate	Yes	386
molodoyy	Yes	283.27
df4d8fa4sdf5	Yes	190
0xA2770432A5E6Bd24c347c976b0D815db1f2C1182-1760945846787	Yes	175.8
AJSV	Yes	166.05
orac07	Yes	146.3
qianyi2026	Yes	102.79
Rr55	Yes	100
tywwetherididi	Yes	44
JokerBot	Yes	43.81
TruthSignalFramework	Yes	43.72
0x45e606f7849330AdAd37875f835FBdD1B7868FCa-1775496679263	Yes	41.67
fountaim	Yes	40
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	36.6
0x55264396aB866F4871bBC7Fda2559CB917F47380-1776876588771	Yes	29.09
QuessTea007	Yes	25
KiruaTrading	Yes	21
dgfd76	Yes	20
Slowbucks	Yes	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
00:25:39	SELL	No	0.4	3	$1.09
00:23:04	SELL	Yes	0.58	3	$1.62
22:21:21	BUY	Yes	0.4	6	$2.21
21:11:04	BUY	No	0.47	8	$3.94
21:10:40	BUY	No	0.46928	5	$2.35
20:45:43	SELL	No	0.37	3	$1.18
20:44:33	BUY	Yes	0.6299999973	44	$27.60
20:40:33	BUY	Yes	0.63	19	$11.93
20:40:21	BUY	Yes	0.63	10	$6.40
20:29:40	BUY	No	0.45	10	$4.50
19:26:31	SELL	No	0.39	8	$3.12
18:49:18	BUY	Yes	0.59	8	$4.72
18:40:09	BUY	Yes	0.7860606061	13	$10.38
18:40:06	BUY	Yes	0.53	40	$21.20
18:39:51	BUY	No	0.54	5	$2.70
18:39:42	BUY	Yes	0.3641069397	176	$64.01
18:39:30	BUY	Yes	0.2540396446	146	$37.17
12:46:26	BUY	No	0.84	10	$8.40
12:46:23	BUY	No	0.84	10	$8.40
12:46:05	BUY	No	0.84	10	$8.40
12:45:59	BUY	No	0.84	10	$8.40
15:41:02	BUY	No	0.84	36	$30.24
15:40:59	BUY	Yes	0.17	9	$1.61
15:40:57	BUY	Yes	0.1246632124	386	$48.12
12:32:31	BUY	No	0.9271028014	21	$19.20