fountaim
0x4b72b21f7e9999d568d9b93f0be110257d9938d5
- Realised P&L
- $9.0k
- Volume
- $68.5k
- Markets traded
- 134
- Open portfolio
- $8.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded134
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.135Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.164Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?
- +$710.01at 0.205Will Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027?
- +$582.43at 0.201Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?
- +$527.62at 0.308Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 04:29 | Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher? | BUY | 0.8682870621 | $202.76 |
| 10-14 04:29 | Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | BUY | 0.7555536209 | $351.49 |
| 10-14 04:29 | Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | BUY | 0.7628770609 | $287.80 |
| 10-14 04:29 | Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | BUY | 0.8699999972 | $9.44 |
| 10-13 22:49 | Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | BUY | 0.9800029844 | $91.94 |
| 10-13 22:47 | Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | BUY | 0.9694736842 | $55.26 |
| 10-13 22:47 | Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher? | BUY | 0.97 | $58.55 |
| 10-13 22:47 | Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | BUY | 0.9690206698 | $350.67 |
| 10-13 22:47 | Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher? | BUY | 0.9584144908 | $365.22 |
| 10-13 22:46 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | BUY | 0.97 | $872.90 |
| 10-13 22:46 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | BUY | 0.9679397249 | $802.94 |
| 10-13 22:46 | Will Meta's Watermelon model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher? | BUY | 0.9576199921 | $120.71 |
| 10-13 22:45 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | BUY | 0.95 | $21.38 |
| 10-13 22:45 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | BUY | 0.9332286024 | $68.91 |
| 10-13 22:44 | Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | BUY | 0.9638664298 | $526.35 |